Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclosure: The author holds a long position in PLTR.
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PLTR

Analysis

Thesis
Palantir is consolidating the AI operating system for defense and regulated industry—agentic decision software + forward‑deployed distribution—compounding into a trusted, high‑margin standard across NATO/US gov and Fortune 2000.
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Growth Outlook

Average Implied Multiple (to 2030)
2.5x (from 1 most recent analyses)
Reasoning
Non‑linear upside from defense OS (NATO/UK/US), Boeing‑scale industrial wins, and agentic AIP monetization. If revenue reaches ~$30B with elite margins and trust moat, a ~$1T cap (2–3x) by 2030 is feasible despite today’s premium.
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