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Disclosure: The author holds a long position in ZS.
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ZS

Analysis as of: 2025-12-27
Zscaler, Inc.
Zscaler provides a cloud-delivered security platform that inspects and enforces policy on user and application traffic for enterprises.
ai cloud cybersecurity enterprise software
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Summary

An in-line security control plane for the AI era
In-line inspection becomes more valuable as AI accelerates attacks and data sprawl. The upside depends on converting telemetry into higher-priced platform bundles while maintaining reliability.

Analysis

Thesis
As AI drives attack speed beyond human response, enterprises shift to always-on, in-line security control planes; Zscaler can compound its traffic + telemetry into higher-value platform bundles (data security, AI security, security operations, compliance evidence) and sustain high-teens growth even as valuation normalizes.
Last Economy Alignment
Direct beneficiary of AI offense>defense: Zscaler sits on the in-line “switchboard,” monetizing trust, uptime, and telemetry loops at internet scale.
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Opportunity Outlook

Average Implied Multiple (to 2030)
2.2x (from 5 most recent analyses)
Reasoning
Zscaler remains a high-priority control point because traffic inspection, identity-aware access, and data governance get harder (and more necessary) as AI usage and phishing/social engineering scale. The company has a credible platform expansion path: attach more modules to existing large enterprises, add security-operations value post-Red Canary, and monetize AI security and compliance evidence as boards demand measurable controls. Returns are more likely to come from durable growth plus operational leverage than from multiple expansion.
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Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Summary
The biggest risks are (1) competitive bundling by broader platforms that can sell “good enough” secure access/data controls, (2) execution complexity from turning acquisitions (Red Canary, SPLX) into repeatable, quota-bearing bundles, and (3) valuation sensitivity—ZS can execute well yet deliver muted returns if the market de-rates premium security software. Reliability matters structurally: an in-line architecture is punished for outages and latency.
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Third Party Analyst Consensus

12-Month Price Target
$323.73
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