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Disclosure: The author does not hold a position in CORZ.
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CORZ

Analysis as of: 2026-01-06
Core Scientific, Inc.
Core Scientific operates high-power data center campuses for high-density AI/HPC colocation and also runs/hosts bitcoin mining infrastructure.
ai cloud crypto energy hardware
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Summary

Scarce-power compute landlord with a concentration overhang
A credible pivot from bitcoin cyclicality to contracted AI colocation could drive multi-year compounding. The gating items are tenant diversification, on-time MW delivery, and disciplined financing.

Analysis

Thesis
CORZ is a “scarce power → contracted compute” conversion story: if it expands beyond its anchor tenant while commissioning MW on-time, it can re-rate from miner-like cyclicality toward infrastructure-like value as multi-year, dollar-denominated AI colocation becomes the underwriting base.
Last Economy Alignment
Compute is bottlenecked by power + interconnect + build time; CORZ’s edge is speed-to-MW on already-energized campuses, turning grid access into bankable contracts.
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Opportunity Outlook

Average Implied 5-Year Multiple
3.4x (from 3 most recent analyses)
Reasoning
The upside is driven by mix shift: contracted high-density colocation becomes the primary revenue engine, supported by multi-campus power access that is scarce in the U.S. build cycle. If CORZ adds even modest customer diversity beyond its anchor and proves repeatable commissioning, investors should increasingly value it like digital infrastructure (durable contracts, long asset life) rather than like a bitcoin miner (volatile cash flows). The limiting factors are concentration, heavy retrofit capex, and the risk that tenants push economics down as supply responds.
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Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Summary
The dominant risk is concentrated build-to-lease execution: CORZ must commission large MW blocks on time while converting interest into signed contracts beyond the anchor tenant. Any slip pushes cash flows out while capex and fixed costs remain real, increasing dilution/financing risk and keeping the equity valued like a miner proxy.
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Third Party Analyst Consensus

12-Month Price Target
$26.38
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