This is a mature platform, not a blank-sheet hypergrowth story, so the upside comes from mix improvement and durability more than raw logo growth. The key question is whether Salesforce can move value capture from human seats to AI-assisted work, trusted automation, data unification, and cross-cloud standardization. Its
installed base,
workflow integration, partner ecosystem, and compliance posture make that transition plausible. I do not underwrite a frontier-model premium; I underwrite steady core growth, AI and data attach, moderate
rerating, and buyback-assisted per-share compounding.