Overall Risk Summary
Sequence risk dominates. Hut 8 does not mainly need to prove demand; it needs to prove build sequencing, utility readiness, and parent-level capital discipline. Its moat is physical and contract-based rather than a thin software wrapper, which helps defensibility and limits agent disintermediation, but the equity already assumes a meaningful share of the transition works. Delays, tenant concentration, funding slippage, or a softer AI infrastructure cycle could compress the stock well before long-term campus value is realized.