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Disclosure: The author does not hold a position in CORZ.
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CORZ

Analysis as of: 2026-01-14
Core Scientific, Inc.
Core Scientific develops and operates high-power sites used for bitcoin mining and AI/HPC-focused high-density colocation.
ai cloud crypto energy hardware
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Summary

From bitcoin power sites to contracted AI capacity
The opportunity is a credible re-rating if the business proves repeatable MW commissioning and customer diversification. The risk is slipping timelines and staying single-tenant, keeping valuation miner-like.

Analysis

Thesis
CORZ’s edge is “time-to-power”: converting already-powered mining campuses into contracted AI/HPC colocation can shift the stock from BTC-cyclical cashflows to infrastructure-like, contracted revenue—if it commissions MW on time and adds at least one meaningful tenant beyond its current anchor.
Last Economy Alignment
It monetizes the key bottleneck (power + sites) behind AI scale; moat improves if it builds multi-tenant interconnect and compliance layers.
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Opportunity Outlook

Average Implied 5-Year Multiple
3.5x (from 4 most recent analyses)
Reasoning
CORZ is trying to get re-valued from “bitcoin miner cashflow volatility” to “contracted AI capacity.” The path to that re-rate is (1) delivering large blocks of billable MW on schedule, (2) proving durable dollar-denominated customer economics, and (3) reducing single-customer risk by adding at least one more large tenant and/or creating multi-tenant campuses. If it executes, investors can rationally underwrite it with a mid-single-digit infrastructure revenue multiple rather than a miner-like multiple.
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Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Summary
The dominant risk is build-to-lease execution under concentration: commissioning large MW blocks on time while turning a single-anchor relationship into a diversified, multi-tenant portfolio. If delivery slips, cash needs rise (dilution/expensive debt), and the equity can trade back like a miner proxy. Policy risk is a rising second-order factor as data-center power draw becomes politically salient.
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Third Party Analyst Consensus

12-Month Price Target
$23.81
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