Next Arc Research

Is it better to stay in the Mag 7 — or are there stronger opportunities as AI reshapes the economy?
We find who's positioned to win before it shows up in the earnings.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 125 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Applied Optoelectronics designs and manufactures fiber-optic networking products, including lasers, transceivers, modules, and broadband equipment, for AI data centers, cable, telecom, and fiber access networks. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric vertical takeoff aircraft, unmanned aircraft systems, and aviation AI technologies for commercial aerospace and defense customers. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI software, combining a governed application platform, packaged industry applications, and generative AI tools for large organizations. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Airship AI provides video, sensor, and data-management software, edge appliances, and support services for federal and enterprise security operations. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs sells semiconductor connectivity chips and management software that help AI and cloud data-center racks move data, attach memory, and validate systems faster. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella develops low-power edge AI semiconductor chips and software for automotive, security, robotics, and other intelligent camera and sensor systems. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs and sells CPUs, GPUs, networking silicon, adaptive chips, software and rack-scale systems for data center, client, gaming and embedded markets. AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. Amkor provides outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services for chip companies, foundries and electronics makers, with growing exposure to AI, data-center and automotive devices. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius develops and sells high-energy silicon-anode lithium-ion battery cells for drones, defense, aerospace, and light-mobility applications. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates a global commerce marketplace, cloud infrastructure platform, advertising network, subscription ecosystem, and fulfillment network. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista sells high-performance Ethernet switching and routing systems plus network operating and management software for AI, cloud, data center, campus, and branch environments. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital builds, finances, and operates power-dense data center campuses and hosting facilities for hyperscaler AI, high-performance computing, and bitcoin mining workloads in North America. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides AI-powered advertising, measurement, and monetization software that helps advertisers acquire customers and helps app, web, and connected-TV publishers monetize audiences. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech pursuing Apitox for knee osteoarthritis while also operating MindWave, a digital-asset holding, trading, and treasury-governance business. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm licenses CPU, GPU and system IP, compute subsystems, and related software and tools to semiconductor and electronics companies. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML supplies lithography systems, metrology and inspection tools, computational lithography software, and services used by semiconductor manufacturers to make chips. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile builds and operates direct-to-cell satellites and carrier-integrated network systems that connect ordinary smartphones from space, plus related gateway and government communications services. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver self-driving system for heavy trucks and is commercializing driverless freight services on U.S. highway corridors. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. AeroVironment develops autonomous aircraft, precision strike systems, counter-drone systems, space technologies, and cyber capabilities for U.S. and allied defense customers. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs semiconductor and infrastructure software products for hyperscalers, enterprises and service providers, with growing exposure to custom AI accelerators, networking and private-cloud software. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai provides AI software and services for defense, national security, border and travel, and regulated screening workflows. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Beam Therapeutics develops precision genetic medicines built on its proprietary base-editing platform, with lead programs in sickle cell disease and liver-targeted rare diseases. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly Network sells handheld ultrasound devices, cloud workflow software, and embedded Ultrasound-on-Chip licensing for healthcare and adjacent partners. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky operates an imaging satellite constellation and sells subscription geospatial intelligence, analytics, and mission solutions to government and commercial customers. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT designs, manufactures and services nuclear components, fuel and engineering solutions for U.S. defense, commercial nuclear and related government programs. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs AI accelerators and rack-scale systems and monetizes them through hardware sales plus cloud inference and training services. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence develops software, semiconductor IP, emulation hardware, and cloud tools used to design and verify chips and electronic systems. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation Energy generates power from a large U.S. fleet led by nuclear and gas assets and sells electricity, natural gas and energy solutions to customers nationwide. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica designs, engineers and manufactures AI-era data center hardware, networking platforms, rack-scale systems, and related supply-chain and lifecycle services for hyperscalers, OEMs and enterprises. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent makes optical transceivers, lasers, switches, materials, and other photonics hardware used in AI datacenters, communications networks, and industrial systems. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase operates a regulated platform for crypto trading, custody, stablecoin payments, developer tools, and emerging tokenized-asset markets. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific operates U.S. data center campuses that provide high-density colocation for AI workloads while winding down legacy bitcoin mining activities. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo sells high-speed connectivity chips, cables, optical transceivers and connectivity IP for Ethernet, PCI Express and AI data infrastructure. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells cloud software for customer relationship management, collaboration, analytics, data management, integration, and AI-enabled workflow automation to enterprises. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence sells AI-powered in-car assistant software, connected services, and adjacent agent tools to automakers and Tier 1 suppliers. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG Gene-editing biotech developing CRISPR-, siRNA-, and cell-based medicines, with shared economics on CASGEVY and a broader wholly owned pipeline. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike sells cloud-delivered cybersecurity subscriptions that protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identity, data, and security operations for enterprises and public-sector customers. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave provides GPU-accelerated cloud infrastructure, software, and managed services for AI labs, enterprises, and cloud customers. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog sells cloud software that helps enterprises monitor, troubleshoot, secure, and increasingly automate modern applications and IT infrastructure. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell Technologies sells servers, storage, networking, PCs and related services, with growing emphasis on enterprise AI infrastructure and on-prem consumption models. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells biological research services, remote access to automated lab capacity, and lab automation systems for commercial and government customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix runs global data centers and connectivity services that let enterprises, networks and cloud providers deploy infrastructure close to customers, partners and one another. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells self-managed and cloud software for enterprise search, observability, and security on top of the Elasticsearch platform. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton provides electrical power-management equipment and software, aerospace power systems, and mobility powertrain components for industrial, utility, data center, aerospace, and vehicle customers. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud contact-center software plus AI, workflow, voice, and customer-engagement tools for enterprise and midmarket customers. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence sells grid-scale battery storage systems, long-term services, and operating software to utilities, developers, and large power users. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet is a precision manufacturing partner that packages, assembles, tests and manages supply chains for complex optical, electro-mechanical and electronic products. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Google sells digital advertising, cloud infrastructure and software, subscriptions, devices, and AI services across large consumer and enterprise surfaces. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise servers, storage, networking, hybrid-cloud software and services, and financing solutions to commercial, enterprise, and government customers. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company developing immuno-oncology therapies for cancers resistant to checkpoint inhibitors and other immunotherapies. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 develops and operates power-backed digital infrastructure spanning AI data center campuses, bitcoin mining infrastructure, and cloud and colocation services. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, model evaluation, and deployment-assurance services and software to model builders, technology companies, and enterprises. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ develops trapped-ion quantum computing systems and sells related cloud access, networking, sensing, security, and manufacturing-linked solutions to commercial and government customers. IREN IREN Limited IREN owns and operates power-backed data centers and compute infrastructure for AI cloud services and Bitcoin mining. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides design, engineering, supply chain, manufacturing, and fulfillment services for original equipment manufacturers across data center, healthcare, automotive, consumer, and industrial markets. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby Aviation develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft and aims to operate and supply air-taxi networks, with current revenue from passenger services, government and engineering work, and an expanding defense business. KDK Kodiak AI, Inc. Kodiak AI develops and sells the Kodiak Driver autonomous driving system, combining AI software, modular hardware, and operations tools for freight, industrial, and defense customers. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos sells unmanned aircraft, propulsion systems, satellite ground systems, C5ISR, microwave electronics and related defense products to U.S. and allied customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum makes optical and photonic components, modules, and switching systems used in AI/cloud interconnects, telecom transport, industrial lasers, and sensing applications. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade sells renters, homeowners, car, pet, and life insurance directly to consumers through its app, website, and partner integrations in the U.S. and parts of Europe. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Lattice Semiconductor sells low-power programmable chips, related design software, and platform firmware products used in servers, industrial systems, communications gear, and other embedded devices. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye supplies automotive driver-assistance and autonomous-driving systems, purpose-built chips, road intelligence, and related software to automakers and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta operates Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, Threads, and Meta Glasses, monetizing primarily through advertising with growing messaging, subscription, API, and device revenue. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells power-management semiconductors and related analog solutions used in data centers, automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer electronics. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Fabless semiconductor company focused on custom silicon and data infrastructure chips for cloud, AI, networking, storage and security workloads. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft sells cloud infrastructure, productivity software, business applications, developer tools, devices, gaming, and advertising solutions to consumers, enterprises, developers, and governments. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy sells enterprise analytics software and operates a bitcoin treasury plus multi-security capital stack to accumulate and finance bitcoin holdings. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs and manufactures semiconductor products for telecommunications, industrial and defense, and data center customers. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron develops and manufactures DRAM, NAND and NOR memory and storage products for data center, mobile, PC, automotive, industrial and consumer markets. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius is an AI cloud infrastructure company that sells GPU compute, storage, networking, inference software, and related services, while also owning smaller non-core assets including Avride and TripleTen. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy owns Florida Power & Light and NextEra Energy Resources, combining a large regulated Florida utility with a major North American power generation, storage and infrastructure development platform. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare sells cloud-based network security, performance, and developer platform services on a global edge network. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox sells digital tomosynthesis imaging systems, teleradiology services, and AI-enabled imaging and health-IT software to healthcare providers. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells a cloud platform and workflow applications that large organizations use to automate IT, employee, customer, security, and related enterprise processes. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise storage systems, data-management software, and cloud data services that help customers store, protect, govern, and activate data across on-premises and public clouds. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Intellia develops CRISPR gene-editing medicines led by lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema and nex-z for transthyretin amyloidosis. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera sells genetic and molecular laboratory tests for oncology, women’s health, organ transplant monitoring, and rare disease screening. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs and sells accelerated computing chips, AI systems, networking products and software used by cloud providers, enterprises, OEMs and consumers. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo develops fast-fission power plants plus isotope production and fuel-cycle capabilities to sell clean firm power under a build-own-operate model. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs, manufactures, and sells power and sensing semiconductors used in automotive, industrial automation, energy infrastructure, and AI data-center systems. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells enterprise database software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, hardware, and healthcare IT to businesses and governments worldwide. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster designs and sells digital lidar sensors, stereo cameras, edge AI compute, and perception software for industrial, robotics, automotive, and smart infrastructure customers. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells cybersecurity products, subscriptions and services across network, cloud, security operations, AI and identity to enterprises, service providers and governments. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells enterprise software for automation and orchestration across robots, AI agents, APIs, documents, and human workflows. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI develops autonomy software, avionics, UAV-related systems, precision components, and engineering services for defense and industrial customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet operates Earth-observation satellites and sells imagery, geospatial data, and analytics software to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir sells Gotham, Foundry, Apollo, and AIP software that integrates data, AI, and operational workflows for government agencies and enterprises. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs and sells optical engines, light-source products and custom optical modules aimed at AI networks and hyperscale data centers. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing one-time gene-editing therapies for rare genetic diseases using its Prime Editing platform. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services provides specialized contracting, engineering and maintenance services for electric power, utility, communications and related critical infrastructure. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave develops annealing and gate-model quantum computers and sells cloud access, systems, software tools, and services to enterprise, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. Quantum Computing Inc. sells room-temperature photonic quantum and AI hardware, photonic components, and foundry and advanced packaging services to government, research, and commercial customers. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat designs and manufactures small drones, uncrewed surface vessels, and control software for defense, government, and public safety missions. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. red violet sells identity-intelligence software and data products used for fraud, verification, investigations, compliance, and professional safety workflows. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti builds superconducting quantum computers and processors, sells on-premises systems, and provides cloud access to its quantum hardware. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot develops and operates large-scale data centers and bitcoin mining facilities and provides electrical engineering and fabrication services. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company selling launch services, spacecraft, satellite components, payloads, and mission operations to commercial, civil, defense, and government customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company using a motion-based discovery engine to develop small-molecule therapies in precision oncology and genetic disease. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus sells memory interface chipsets and semiconductor design IP used in AI, data center and other high-performance computing systems. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics designs, manufactures, deploys, and services robotic systems for food service, hospitality, healthcare, retail, and industrial workflows. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech using an AI-native lab-and-data platform to discover drug candidates internally and with pharma partners. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells subscription cybersecurity software that protects endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and security operations with AI-driven detection and response. SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells computational molecular discovery software to pharma, biotech, industrial, and academic customers and also monetizes collaborative drug discovery programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs and operates autonomous robots for sidewalk delivery and, through Diligent, indoor hospital logistics. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells MEMS-based precision timing semiconductors and related tools used across communications, data center, automotive, industrial, aerospace, mobile and consumer electronics. SKHY SK hynix Inc. SK hynix manufactures DRAM, NAND flash, high-bandwidth memory, and storage products used in AI servers, data centers, PCs, and mobile devices. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs and sells application-optimized servers, storage, networking, rack-scale systems, cooling, and management software for AI, cloud, and enterprise data centers. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale develops small modular nuclear reactor technology and provides related licensing, engineering, and plant support services. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake provides a cloud-based data platform that lets organizations store, process, share, and govern data and AI workloads across multiple public clouds. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys sells software, semiconductor design IP, and simulation tools used to design, verify, and test chips and complex electronic systems. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI sells voice and conversational AI software that automates customer and employee interactions across phones, chat, kiosks, cars, and other channels. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX designs, manufactures, launches and operates reusable rockets, satellite broadband networks, secure government communications systems and AI infrastructure. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire Global builds and operates small-satellite constellations that sell weather, aviation, radio-frequency intelligence, and hosted mission services to government and commercial customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem sells software, edge control hardware, and services that help owners and operators monitor, control, and optimize solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic designs, installs, and supports AI-enabled warehouse automation systems that combine robots, software, and services for large distribution customers. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus AI sells genomic diagnostics, clinical workflow software, and data-driven AI tools to oncologists, health systems, and biopharma customers. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Independent power producer with nuclear and gas assets selling electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into U.S. wholesale markets while pursuing long-term power deals for large data-center loads. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs and sells electric vehicles, energy storage systems, charging infrastructure and related software and services, with growing autonomy and robotics optionality. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC manufactures advanced semiconductor wafers and provides related packaging, testing, mask, and design-enablement services for chip designers and integrated device makers. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products, genomics workflow tools, and antibody discovery inputs used by biotech, pharma, diagnostics, industrial, government, and academic customers. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs, develops, manufactures and markets modular power components and complete power systems for computing, industrial, telecom, transportation and aerospace and defense customers. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv designs, builds, and services power, cooling, rack, and monitoring systems used in data centers and other critical digital infrastructure. VST Vistra Corp. Vistra generates electricity from gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and storage assets and sells electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across competitive U.S. markets. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops, owns and operates power-backed U.S. digital infrastructure for AI and high-performance computing workloads while still operating legacy bitcoin-mining infrastructure. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler sells cloud-delivered zero trust security services that secure internet, private application, branch, workload, data, and AI access for enterprises and government agencies.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

March 2026 - Week 2
Cleaner Glossary Tooltips
  • Glossary tooltips are now more precise. Common words like "multiple," "platform," and "converts" that have both financial and everyday meanings are no longer highlighted when used in their generic sense, reducing visual noise across company pages.
March 2026 - Week 1
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis engine to GPT-5.4 from OpenAI. As with any model upgrade, you may notice some shifts in scores or rankings compared to prior weeks — this reflects the newer model's improved reasoning, not necessarily a change in our methodology or the companies themselves.
February 2026 - Week 4
Sharper Scores, Steadier Rankings
  • Last Economy Alignment scores now do a better job distinguishing companies with genuinely different structural positions. Previously, scores tended to cluster in a narrow band; the updated scoring spreads them out so you can more easily see which companies own durable advantages versus which ones look strong today but may be exposed as constraints fall. You may notice some companies shifting position relative to last week as a result—this reflects better calibration, not a change in the underlying analysis.
  • Breakout candidate rankings are now smoothed over recent weeks instead of recalculated from scratch each time. This means less week-to-week noise—a company won't jump in and out of breakout contention on minor data fluctuations, giving you a more reliable signal of which names are genuinely gaining momentum.
Contrast Pair Stories
  • New story format: we now publish head-to-head comparisons of two companies in the same market segment that diverge on structural positioning. These make it easier to see what actually separates durable advantage from surface-level AI exposure when two companies are competing for the same customers.
February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free: