Next Arc Research

Is it better to stay in the Mag 7 — or are there stronger opportunities as AI reshapes the economy?
We find who's positioned to win before it shows up in the earnings.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 125 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. AOI develops and manufactures optical transceivers, lasers, and HFC networking products for AI datacenters, broadband cable, telecom, and fiber access networks. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric and hybrid vertical takeoff aircraft plus related software, infrastructure, and services for commercial aviation and defense customers. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3.ai sells enterprise AI software, development tools, and related services to large enterprises and government organizations. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Builds AI software and edge appliances that turn video and sensor data into security and operations workflows for government and enterprise customers. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs sells connectivity semiconductors and embedded systems software that help hyperscalers and OEMs build and operate AI servers and racks. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella designs low-power edge AI semiconductor chips and software used in security cameras, vehicles, robotics, industrial systems and other on-device vision applications. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs and sells CPUs, GPUs, networking silicon and related software for data center, client, gaming and embedded markets. AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. Amkor is the largest U.S.-headquartered OSAT, providing outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services to chip companies and electronics manufacturers worldwide. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius develops and sells high-performance silicon-anode lithium-ion battery cells for drones, defense, aerospace, light electric vehicles, and other weight-sensitive mobility uses. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates global online and physical retail, a third-party marketplace, cloud infrastructure, advertising, subscriptions, and logistics networks. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista sells high-performance Ethernet switching, routing, and network software for AI data centers, cloud networks, campuses, and enterprise edge environments. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital builds, owns and operates power-dense AI data center campuses and legacy hosting facilities, monetizing scarce power access through long-duration leases and related services. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides advertising and monetization software that helps advertisers acquire customers and app publishers monetize inventory across mobile and related digital channels. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech with residual LT-100/Apitox economics and a digital-asset treasury software and governance arm through MindWave. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm licenses CPU architectures and related semiconductor IP, sells tools and services, and is expanding into Arm-designed silicon for cloud, edge, automotive and device markets. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML develops, manufactures and services lithography, metrology and inspection systems used by semiconductor manufacturers. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile is building a satellite cellular broadband network that connects standard smartphones through mobile operator and government partners outside terrestrial coverage. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver self-driving system and related freight services for carriers, fleet operators, and truck OEM partners. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. AeroVironment builds autonomous defense systems including drones, precision strike systems, anti-drone systems, space and electronic warfare products, and mission software for U.S. and allied customers. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software used in AI systems, networking, private cloud, storage and other mission-critical enterprise environments. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai provides AI software and services for defense, intelligence, border security, aviation screening, and operational decision support. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Beam Therapeutics develops precision genetic medicines using base editing for sickle cell disease and rare liver diseases. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly Network sells handheld ultrasound devices, cloud software, and workflow tools that aim to broaden imaging access across clinicians, health systems, educators, and partners. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. Provides subscription satellite imagery, analytics, mission solutions, and advanced technology programs for government, defense, and commercial customers. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT manufactures nuclear components and fuel and provides engineering and services to U.S. government and commercial nuclear customers. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs wafer-scale AI compute systems and sells related cloud inference, training, deployment, and support services to large AI customers. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence sells electronic design software, semiconductor IP, hardware emulation and prototyping systems, and cloud and engineering services for chip and system design. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation Energy generates and sells electricity, natural gas and energy services in the U.S., anchored by the nation’s largest nuclear fleet and a broad post-Calpine generation portfolio. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica designs, builds, integrates and supports data-center, communications and industrial electronic hardware plus supply-chain solutions for large technology and industrial customers. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent develops and manufactures optical networking components, transceivers, lasers, modules, systems, and engineered materials for communications, industrial, instrumentation, and electronics markets. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase operates crypto trading, custody, payments, and developer infrastructure for consumers, institutions, businesses, and builders. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific builds and operates power-dense U.S. data centers for AI and high-performance computing workloads while winding down its legacy bitcoin mining businesses. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo designs high-speed connectivity chips, cables, optical links and diagnostic software used in AI data-center networks. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells cloud software for customer relationship management, service, data, integration, analytics, collaboration, and AI-driven workflow automation. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence AI sells white-label conversational AI, voice assistant, and cloud-connected software that automakers and Tier 1 suppliers embed into branded in-car experiences. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-edited medicines, led by CASGEVY with Vertex and a pipeline spanning in vivo editing, cell therapy, and regenerative medicine. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike sells cloud-delivered cybersecurity subscriptions and services that protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, data, and security operations. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave provides GPU-accelerated cloud infrastructure, software, and developer tools for AI labs, enterprises, and other compute-intensive customers. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog sells a cloud-native software platform that helps enterprises monitor applications, infrastructure, logs, user experience, and security across modern environments. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell Technologies designs, manufactures, sells and supports servers, storage, networking, cloud solutions, PCs, software and related services for enterprises and consumers. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells autonomous laboratory services, biology data generation, and lab automation systems to biopharma, agriculture, and industrial biotech customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix operates carrier-neutral data centers and sells colocation, interconnection and managed digital infrastructure services to enterprises, cloud providers, networks and service providers. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic provides cloud and self-managed software that helps enterprises search data, monitor systems, and investigate security activity. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton makes electrical power distribution, protection and backup systems, aerospace components, and related software and services for data centers, utilities, buildings, industrial sites and aircraft. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud-native software for enterprise contact centers across voice, digital engagement, workflow automation, workforce tools, and AI. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence sells utility-scale battery storage systems, lifecycle services, and grid optimization software to utilities, developers, and large power users. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services for optical communications, AI-networking, laser, medical, and other complex original-equipment products. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Alphabet monetizes consumer intent and attention through Google and YouTube, while also selling cloud infrastructure, enterprise software, subscriptions, and a small set of emerging technology services. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise servers, storage, networking, hybrid cloud software, and related services to businesses and government customers. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. Clinical-stage immuno-oncology company developing IFx-2.0, TBS-2025 and related therapies aimed at overcoming resistance to cancer immunotherapy. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 is a power-first digital infrastructure company building and operating AI data center campuses, cloud and colocation services, and ASIC compute assets. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, evaluation, annotation, observability, and platform-enabled workflow services for AI builders, enterprises, and government customers. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ develops trapped-ion quantum computers and sells cloud access, quantum networking, sensing, security, and manufacturing-linked solutions to commercial, government, and research customers. IREN IREN Limited IREN builds and operates power-backed data center campuses and GPU cloud infrastructure for AI workloads, while transitioning legacy Bitcoin mining capacity into higher-value compute services. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides engineering, supply chain, manufacturing, and fulfillment services for complex electronics across cloud and data center infrastructure, healthcare, automotive, and other end markets. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby develops electric air taxis, plans to operate air-taxi networks and sell aircraft to partners, and currently generates passenger-service revenue through Blade. KDK Kodiak AI, Inc. Kodiak AI develops autonomous driving software and modular sensor hardware for trucking, industrial, and defense vehicle applications. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos develops and manufactures lower-cost defense systems including uncrewed aircraft, propulsion, missile and hypersonic hardware, microwave electronics, and satellite ground systems for U.S. and allied customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum designs and manufactures lasers, optical components, modules, and subsystems used in AI and cloud data centers, telecom networks, industrial manufacturing, and 3D sensing. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade is a digital personal-lines insurer that sells renters, homeowners, car, pet, and term life insurance through its app, website, and partner integrations. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Lattice Semiconductor sells low-power programmable chips, design tools, and platform firmware used in communications, computing, industrial, automotive, and AI infrastructure systems. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye develops automotive driver-assistance and autonomous-driving systems that combine silicon, software, and road-intelligence data for automakers and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta operates a global family of social, messaging and media apps and monetizes them primarily through digital advertising, while investing heavily in AI infrastructure, business tools and wearable hardware. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. MPS designs and sells power-management semiconductors and power solutions used in AI/data-center, storage, automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer systems. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell designs data-infrastructure semiconductors for AI and cloud systems, including custom chips, switches, optical links, DPUs, and storage and memory connectivity products. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft sells cloud infrastructure, productivity and business software, developer tools, security products, and related services to enterprises, consumers, and public-sector customers. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy is a public bitcoin treasury company that also sells enterprise analytics software and related services. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs and manufactures high-performance semiconductor products for data center, telecommunications, industrial and defense applications. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron designs, manufactures and sells DRAM, NAND, NOR memory and storage products used across AI data centers, client devices, mobile, automotive and industrial markets. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius sells AI cloud compute, storage, networking, managed services and developer tools, while also owning Avride and TripleTen. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy owns Florida Power & Light and a large North American power development platform, combining regulated electricity delivery with generation, storage, transmission and nuclear assets. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare runs a global edge network that sells security, networking, performance, and developer services through one cloud-native control plane. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox sells digital tomosynthesis imaging systems, AI imaging software, teleradiology services, and healthcare IT solutions to imaging providers and healthcare organizations. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells cloud software that digitizes, automates, and governs enterprise workflows across IT, employee, customer, risk, and AI operations. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise storage systems, data management software, and cloud data services that help customers manage, protect, and mobilize data across on-premises and public-cloud environments. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Intellia develops CRISPR-based gene editing therapies, led by lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema and nex-z for transthyretin amyloidosis. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera provides cell-free DNA testing in oncology, women’s health, and organ transplant monitoring through regulated laboratory workflows and supporting clinical evidence. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs and sells accelerated computing chips, rack-scale AI systems, networking, and software used across data centers, gaming, automotive, and enterprise AI. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo is developing and planning to operate advanced fission power plants, nuclear fuel-cycle assets, and radioisotope production facilities for power, fuel, and isotope customers. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs and manufactures power semiconductors and sensing products for automotive, industrial and computing customers. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells enterprise databases, cloud infrastructure, and business applications to commercial and government customers. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster designs digital lidar sensors, vision products, and perception software used in industrial automation, robotics, automotive development, and smart infrastructure. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells cybersecurity platforms and services spanning network security, cloud security, security operations, identity, and observability for enterprises, service providers, and governments. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells software that helps enterprises build, run, and govern automation workflows, AI agents, and process orchestration across systems and people. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI builds defense-focused autonomy software, avionics, engineering services, unmanned systems, and precision-manufactured components for U.S. government and industrial customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet sells daily satellite imagery, geospatial data, analytics software, and satellite services to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir sells software platforms and related services that connect data, govern AI and human actions, and run operational workflows for governments and enterprises. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs optical engines, light sources, and custom optical modules for AI systems and hyperscale data-center interconnects. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing one-time gene editing therapies based on its Prime Editing platform for genetic diseases and selected cell therapy applications. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services designs, builds and maintains electric power, underground utility, communications and mission-critical infrastructure for utilities, energy producers and large load-center customers. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave develops quantum computing systems and sells cloud access, software tools, professional services, and on-premises systems to commercial, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. QCi develops and sells photonic and quantum machines, photonic components, and photonic chip foundry and packaging services for commercial and government customers. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat designs and sells small unmanned aircraft systems, uncrewed surface vessels, and related control and autonomy technologies for defense, government, and public safety users. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. red violet licenses cloud-hosted identity intelligence and risk-management software, data, and workflow tools through IDI, FOREWARN, and CORE. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti designs and manufactures superconducting quantum processors and systems and sells cloud and on-premises access to government, research, and enterprise customers. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot Platforms develops and operates large-scale bitcoin mining sites, data center campuses, and in-house electrical engineering infrastructure. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab provides launch services, spacecraft, satellite components, and mission operations for commercial, civil, and national-security customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Relay Therapeutics is a clinical-stage precision medicine company using its Dynamo discovery platform to develop small-molecule therapies for cancer and genetic disease. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus sells memory interface chips and licenses interface and security silicon intellectual property used in AI servers, PCs and other data-intensive computing systems. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics develops, sells, rents, and operates commercial and industrial robots, plus teleoperation, data, and emerging AI-compute services. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Recursion develops drug candidates and discovery collaborations using an AI-native, automated lab platform that combines proprietary biological data, chemistry, and clinical workflows. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells cybersecurity software that helps enterprises detect, investigate, and respond to threats across endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and security operations. SDGR Schrodinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells computational chemistry and molecular discovery software to pharma, biotech, industrial, and academic customers and also monetizes collaborative and proprietary drug programs built on the same platform. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs and operates autonomous robots for last-mile delivery and hospital workflow logistics in the United States. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs MEMS-based timing semiconductors and synchronization software used in data center, communications, industrial, automotive, aerospace and consumer electronics. SKHY SK hynix Inc. SK hynix makes DRAM, NAND flash, SSDs, and AI-server memory products, with leadership concentrated in high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro sells rack-scale servers, storage, cooling systems, and management tools used to deploy AI, cloud, and enterprise infrastructure. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale Power designs small modular nuclear reactors and sells related engineering, licensing, and commercialization services to utilities, developers, and other power customers. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake provides a cross-cloud data platform for storing, processing, sharing, and building analytics and AI applications on enterprise data. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys sells mission-critical chip design software, semiconductor interface and foundation blocks, simulation and analysis software, cloud-delivered engineering workflows, and related services. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI sells voice and conversational AI software that helps automakers, restaurants, retailers, and enterprises deploy AI assistants and workflow agents across cars, phones, apps, and contact centers. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX designs, builds, launches, and operates rockets, spacecraft, satellite connectivity, and adjacent AI products for consumer, enterprise, government, and defense markets. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire Global sells satellite-derived weather, aviation, and radio-frequency intelligence data plus hosted mission services to government and enterprise customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem sells software, controls, edge hardware, and services that monitor and operate solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets for owners, operators, EPCs, and asset managers. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic builds robotic warehouse automation systems and sells the attached software, maintenance, and operating services to large distribution customers. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus provides oncology and hereditary molecular testing, clinical data products, trial matching, and workflow software to providers, payers, researchers, and biopharma. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Talen Energy owns and operates U.S. power generation assets and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into wholesale markets and under long-term power contracts. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs, manufactures, sells and leases electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and sells related software and services directly to customers. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC manufactures semiconductors and provides foundry, advanced packaging, and design-enablement services for global chip designers and system companies. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products, genomics tools, and antibody discovery inputs using a silicon-based DNA synthesis platform. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures high-density power modules, including DCM and PRM converters, plus Vertical Power Delivery systems for AI, industrial, automotive, networking, and defense applications. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv provides mission-critical power, cooling, racks, monitoring, and lifecycle services for data centers, communication networks, and other critical facilities. VST Vistra Corp. Vistra generates electricity from a large U.S. fleet and sells electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through retail brands and long-term contracts. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops, owns and operates power-backed U.S. data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing leasing while still running legacy bitcoin-mining infrastructure. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler sells cloud-delivered cybersecurity subscriptions that secure internet access, private application access, data flows, and AI-era enterprise traffic for large organizations and public sector customers.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

March 2026 - Week 2
Cleaner Glossary Tooltips
  • Glossary tooltips are now more precise. Common words like "multiple," "platform," and "converts" that have both financial and everyday meanings are no longer highlighted when used in their generic sense, reducing visual noise across company pages.
March 2026 - Week 1
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis engine to GPT-5.4 from OpenAI. As with any model upgrade, you may notice some shifts in scores or rankings compared to prior weeks — this reflects the newer model's improved reasoning, not necessarily a change in our methodology or the companies themselves.
February 2026 - Week 4
Sharper Scores, Steadier Rankings
  • Last Economy Alignment scores now do a better job distinguishing companies with genuinely different structural positions. Previously, scores tended to cluster in a narrow band; the updated scoring spreads them out so you can more easily see which companies own durable advantages versus which ones look strong today but may be exposed as constraints fall. You may notice some companies shifting position relative to last week as a result—this reflects better calibration, not a change in the underlying analysis.
  • Breakout candidate rankings are now smoothed over recent weeks instead of recalculated from scratch each time. This means less week-to-week noise—a company won't jump in and out of breakout contention on minor data fluctuations, giving you a more reliable signal of which names are genuinely gaining momentum.
Contrast Pair Stories
  • New story format: we now publish head-to-head comparisons of two companies in the same market segment that diverge on structural positioning. These make it easier to see what actually separates durable advantage from surface-level AI exposure when two companies are competing for the same customers.
February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free: