Next Arc Research

Is it better to stay in the Mag 7 — or are there stronger opportunities as AI reshapes the economy?
We find who's positioned to win before it shows up in the earnings.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 125 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Applied Optoelectronics designs and manufactures optical networking products, including lasers, transceivers and broadband access equipment, for data center, CATV, telecom and FTTH markets. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric vertical-takeoff aircraft, dual-use aviation systems, airport operations, and aviation AI tools for commercial and defense markets. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI software platforms and applications for large commercial, industrial, and government organizations. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Airship AI sells AI-driven video, sensor, and data-management software plus edge systems for government and enterprise security workflows. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs sells semiconductor connectivity, switching, memory-expansion and observability products used by hyperscalers and OEMs to build AI and cloud servers and racks. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella designs low-power AI vision chips and supporting software for cameras, vehicles, robots and other edge devices. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs and sells data center, client, gaming and embedded compute products spanning CPUs, GPUs, networking and supporting software. AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. Amkor provides outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services, with growing exposure to advanced packages used in AI, computing, automotive, and industrial chips. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius develops and sells silicon-anode lithium-ion battery cells for drones, defense, aviation, and light mobility applications. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates online and physical retail marketplaces, cloud infrastructure, digital advertising, subscriptions, and logistics networks for consumers, sellers, developers, and enterprises. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista sells Ethernet switching and routing platforms plus network operating and management software for large AI, data center, campus, branch, and routing customers. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital develops, finances, and operates power-dense data center campuses for AI, cloud, crypto, and other accelerated-compute workloads in North America. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides AI-driven advertising, app monetization, and measurement software for advertisers and mobile app publishers. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech and digital-asset treasury company developing Apitox for knee osteoarthritis pain while holding and building governance controls around crypto assets. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm develops and licenses CPU, GPU, systems IP, compute subsystems and related software that underpin chips used across mobile, cloud, automotive and AI infrastructure. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML supplies lithography, metrology, inspection, software and services that semiconductor manufacturers use to mass produce advanced chips. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile builds low-Earth-orbit satellites and ground systems that let mobile operators extend broadband connectivity directly to ordinary smartphones outside terrestrial coverage. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora develops a self-driving trucking system and related services for carriers, fleets, and freight networks. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. AeroVironment designs, manufactures, and supports autonomous aircraft systems, precision strike systems, counter-drone, directed-energy, space, cyber, and related defense technologies for U.S. and allied government customers. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs and sells semiconductor and infrastructure software products used in AI data centers, enterprise computing, networking, broadband and private cloud environments. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai provides AI software, analytics, and engineering services for defense, intelligence, border security, travel, and supply-chain security workflows. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Beam Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing precision genetic medicines using base editing across liver and hematology diseases. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly Network sells handheld ultrasound devices, cloud workflow software, and embedded licensing based on its semiconductor ultrasound platform. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky sells low-latency satellite imagery, geospatial analytics, and sovereign mission systems to government and commercial customers through its Spectra software and owned constellation. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT manufactures nuclear components, fuel, reactor systems and related services for U.S. defense, DOE and commercial nuclear customers. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs wafer-scale AI processors and systems and sells AI compute through on-premises deployments and cloud services to enterprises, research labs, and governments. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence sells chip-design software, licensable semiconductor IP, emulation hardware, and system analysis tools used to build semiconductors and complex electronic systems. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation generates electricity from the largest U.S. nuclear fleet and a diversified power portfolio, then sells power, natural gas and sustainability solutions to businesses, utilities and households. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica designs, engineers, manufactures and supports data-center, networking and other advanced-technology hardware for hyperscalers, OEMs and industrial customers. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent is a vertically integrated photonics manufacturer supplying optical components, modules, systems, lasers, and engineered materials for AI datacenters, communications networks, and industrial markets. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase operates a regulated crypto trading, custody, brokerage, payments, and developer-infrastructure platform serving consumers, institutions, and developers. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific operates U.S. powered campuses for AI-focused high-density colocation and also runs residual bitcoin self-mining and hosting operations. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo sells high-speed connectivity semiconductors, cables, optical transceivers, IP and diagnostic software for AI, cloud and networking infrastructure. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells cloud software for customer relationship management, service, marketing, analytics, collaboration, and AI-driven workflow automation to enterprises and public-sector customers. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence sells embedded and cloud-connected conversational AI software, connected services, and related integration services to automotive manufacturers and suppliers. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-edited medicines, shares CASGEVY economics with Vertex, and is advancing wholly owned in vivo and cell-therapy programs. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike sells cloud-native cybersecurity software and related services that protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, data, and security operations. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave provides GPU cloud infrastructure, managed inference, and AI workflow software for model training, inference, and enterprise AI deployment. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog provides cloud-native software for observability, security, digital experience, and AI application monitoring across modern infrastructure and applications. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell sells enterprise and client hardware, storage, networking, services, and financing, with AI infrastructure now driving a larger share of growth. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells outsourced biological R&D services, autonomous lab systems, and related data and workflow software to pharma, biotech, academic, industrial, and government customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix operates a global digital infrastructure platform that sells colocation, interconnection and related services to enterprises, clouds, networks and AI customers. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells cloud and self-managed software that helps enterprises search internal data, monitor systems, and investigate security threats. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton is an intelligent power management company supplying electrical distribution, power quality, aerospace and mobility systems to data centers, utilities, buildings, industrial and transport customers. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud contact-center software, telephony, and AI tools that enterprises use to run customer service, sales, and outreach workflows. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence sells utility-scale battery energy storage systems, related services, and optimization software to utilities, developers, and power-intensive customers. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical and electronic manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers of complex communications, data-center and industrial products. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Alphabet is the parent of Google and monetizes search, video, mobile and browser distribution, cloud infrastructure and software, subscriptions, and AI products. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise servers, storage, networking, hybrid-cloud software, financing, and support, with growing focus on private AI infrastructure. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech developing immuno-oncology therapies aimed at overcoming resistance to cancer immunotherapy in rare skin cancer and selected blood cancer settings. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 develops and operates power-linked data center and bitcoin mining infrastructure, using secured power sites to serve AI and other compute workloads. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, annotation, evaluation, document intelligence, and related software and services to AI builders, enterprises, and regulated customers. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ builds trapped-ion quantum computers and sells cloud access, systems, and adjacent networking, sensing, security, and manufacturing-enabled solutions to enterprise and government customers. IREN IREN Limited IREN builds and operates power-secured data centers and cloud compute infrastructure for AI customers while still running a shrinking Bitcoin mining business. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides engineering, manufacturing, and supply-chain solutions for major OEMs across AI infrastructure, cloud, healthcare, automotive, and consumer-oriented end markets. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft, operates premium short-haul aviation services through Blade, and is building passenger, defense, and autonomy businesses around its aviation stack. KDK Kodiak AI, Inc. Kodiak AI develops the Kodiak Driver autonomous driving system and related services for trucking, industrial, and defense customers. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos develops and produces unmanned defense systems, propulsion, missile-defense targets, microwave electronics, and software-defined satellite ground systems for U.S. and allied customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum makes optical and photonic components, modules, subsystems, and lasers used in AI and cloud networking, telecom transport, industrial manufacturing, and sensing. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade sells renters, homeowners, car, pet, and life insurance through a direct-to-consumer digital platform in the U.S., UK, and parts of Europe. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Lattice designs low-power FPGAs and, after acquiring AMI, platform firmware and infrastructure manageability software for cloud, communications, industrial, and embedded systems. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye develops driver-assistance and autonomous-driving chips, software, maps, and mobility tools for automakers and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta runs Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger and related AI products, monetizing primarily through digital advertising while also investing in subscriptions, business messaging and immersive hardware. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells high-performance power management semiconductors and modules used in enterprise data, automotive, industrial, communications, storage and consumer systems. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell designs semiconductor and infrastructure silicon for AI data centers, cloud, carrier, enterprise storage, networking and security workloads. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft sells cloud infrastructure, productivity software, business applications, developer tools, security, social recruiting, and gaming services to enterprises and consumers. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy sells enterprise analytics software and operates a large bitcoin treasury funded through equity, preferred stock, and debt capital markets. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs, manufactures and sells analog, RF, microwave, mixed-signal and optical semiconductor products for data center, telecommunications, industrial and defense customers. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron designs, manufactures and sells memory and storage semiconductors, including DRAM, NAND and NOR products for data center, client, mobile, automotive and industrial markets. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius provides AI cloud compute, storage, networking, and developer software for training and deploying AI workloads, with smaller optional businesses in autonomy and education. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy is a regulated utility and energy infrastructure company that serves Florida through FPL and develops generation, storage and transmission assets through NEER. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare operates a global cloud network that delivers security, networking, performance, and developer-platform services for businesses and developers. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox develops multisource digital tomosynthesis imaging systems and sells related cloud workflow, AI, teleradiology, and health IT services to providers and channel partners. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells cloud software that helps enterprises run and automate IT, employee, customer, security, and other cross-company workflows. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise storage systems, data-management software, and cloud data services that help customers store, move, protect, and use data across on-premises and multi-cloud environments. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company developing one-time in vivo gene-editing therapies for severe inherited diseases and collaborating on selected programs. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera provides cell-free DNA genetic testing services across oncology, women’s health, and organ health through its own laboratories and partner laboratories. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs accelerated computing chips, systems, networking and software used in AI data centers, gaming PCs, workstations and vehicles. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo is developing and planning to own and operate advanced fission power plants while building fuel recycling, fuel fabrication, and isotope production capabilities. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs and manufactures power semiconductors and intelligent sensing products for automotive, industrial, and AI data center applications. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells cloud infrastructure, database technology, enterprise applications, hardware, and related support and services to enterprises, governments, and institutions worldwide. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster designs and sells digital lidar sensors, 3D vision cameras, and perception software for robotics, industrial automation, smart infrastructure, and automotive-adjacent customers. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells integrated cybersecurity platforms, subscriptions, appliances, and services spanning network, cloud, security operations, identity, and AI security. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells enterprise software for automating and orchestrating workflows across applications, documents, APIs, AI agents, and human approvals. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI develops autonomy software, avionics, unmanned systems, engineering services, and precision-manufactured components for defense and industrial customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet operates a large Earth-imaging satellite fleet and sells geospatial data, analytics, and satellite services to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir builds software that helps governments and enterprises integrate data, workflows, and AI into operational decision-making. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs optical semiconductors, optical engines, light-source products and custom modules for AI systems and hyperscale data centers. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing one-time gene-editing therapies using its Prime Editing platform across liver, blood and partnered cell-therapy programs. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services designs, builds, repairs and maintains electric power, generation, load center, communications and related energy infrastructure. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave develops and sells quantum computing systems, cloud access, software, and services for commercial, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. QCi sells room-temperature quantum photonics systems, photonics components, foundry services, advanced packaging, and related cloud or on-prem tools for government, education, and commercial customers. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat designs and sells U.S.-made drones, maritime robotic systems, and related control software for defense, government, and public-safety missions. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. Red Violet sells identity-intelligence software and data solutions used for verification, fraud, compliance, investigation, and field-safety workflows. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti develops superconducting quantum computing systems, sells on-premises hardware, and provides cloud access tools for government, research, and enterprise users. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot develops power-dense data center campuses, Bitcoin mining operations, and in-house electrical engineering capabilities to serve AI and other high-intensity compute workloads. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company that provides launch services, spacecraft, satellite components, and mission operations for commercial, civil, and defense customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company using its Dynamo discovery engine to develop targeted small-molecule therapies led by zovegalisib for PIK3CA-mutant breast cancer and vascular anomalies. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus sells memory interface chips, silicon IP and patent licenses used in data center, AI and security-focused semiconductor platforms. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics develops autonomous service and industrial robots and monetizes them through product sales, managed deployments, hospitality operations, and Robots-as-a-Service contracts. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech using its Recursion OS, automated labs, and biopharma partnerships to discover and develop medicines while earning collaboration revenue. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells AI-driven cybersecurity software that protects endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and related data through its Singularity platform. SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells physics-based molecular discovery software to life science and materials customers and uses the same platform in partnered and proprietary drug programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs and operates autonomous robots for last-mile delivery and hospital workflow tasks, generating revenue from fleet services, software services, and advertising. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells MEMS-based timing chips, clocking products and synchronization software used in data centers, communications, automotive, industrial, aerospace and consumer electronics. SKHY SK hynix Inc. SK hynix manufactures DRAM, NAND flash, SSD and high-bandwidth memory products used in AI servers, data centers, PCs, mobile devices and other electronics. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs and manufactures servers, AI systems, storage, networking, liquid-cooling infrastructure, and management software for enterprise and cloud data centers. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale Power develops small modular nuclear reactor technology and related engineering, licensing, and lifecycle services for utilities, governments, and industrial power customers. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake provides a cloud data platform for storing, analyzing, sharing, and governing enterprise data and AI workloads across public clouds. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys sells chip-design software, semiconductor interface and processor building blocks, hardware-assisted verification systems, cloud design tools, and engineering simulation software. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI provides voice and conversational AI software that enterprises use across phones, vehicles, restaurants, kiosks, chat, and customer service channels. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX builds and operates reusable launch systems, spacecraft, satellite broadband networks, secure government space systems, and AI infrastructure and software services. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire Global builds and operates a nanosatellite constellation and sells subscription weather, aviation, radio-frequency geolocation data and related space services to government and commercial customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem sells software, control systems, edge hardware, and related services that help owners operate solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic builds automated warehouse systems plus related software and services for large retailers, wholesalers, and distributors. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus AI combines genomic diagnostics, clinical workflow software, and de-identified data products for healthcare providers and biopharma customers. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Talen owns U.S. nuclear and dispatchable power assets and sells electricity, capacity, and reliability services, including long-term supply for data-center demand. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs, manufactures, sells and leases electric vehicles and energy generation and storage products, and also provides related software, charging, service and insurance offerings. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC manufactures advanced chips for semiconductor customers and also provides packaging, mask-making, and testing services. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products, sequencing tools, and antibody discovery services for therapeutics, diagnostics, industrial, agriculture, and research customers. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures high-density power modules and systems and licenses related power-delivery IP for AI, industrial, transportation, aerospace and defense customers. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv provides power, cooling, rack, monitoring and lifecycle service infrastructure for data centers, communications networks, and other mission-critical facilities. VST Vistra Corp. Integrated competitive power company with retail electricity brands and a large U.S. fleet of gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage assets. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops and operates U.S. power-backed data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing leasing, while still monetizing a smaller legacy bitcoin-mining base. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler sells cloud-delivered zero trust security subscriptions that sit inline between users, workloads, devices, applications, and increasingly AI systems.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

March 2026 - Week 2
Cleaner Glossary Tooltips
  • Glossary tooltips are now more precise. Common words like "multiple," "platform," and "converts" that have both financial and everyday meanings are no longer highlighted when used in their generic sense, reducing visual noise across company pages.
March 2026 - Week 1
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis engine to GPT-5.4 from OpenAI. As with any model upgrade, you may notice some shifts in scores or rankings compared to prior weeks — this reflects the newer model's improved reasoning, not necessarily a change in our methodology or the companies themselves.
February 2026 - Week 4
Sharper Scores, Steadier Rankings
  • Last Economy Alignment scores now do a better job distinguishing companies with genuinely different structural positions. Previously, scores tended to cluster in a narrow band; the updated scoring spreads them out so you can more easily see which companies own durable advantages versus which ones look strong today but may be exposed as constraints fall. You may notice some companies shifting position relative to last week as a result—this reflects better calibration, not a change in the underlying analysis.
  • Breakout candidate rankings are now smoothed over recent weeks instead of recalculated from scratch each time. This means less week-to-week noise—a company won't jump in and out of breakout contention on minor data fluctuations, giving you a more reliable signal of which names are genuinely gaining momentum.
Contrast Pair Stories
  • New story format: we now publish head-to-head comparisons of two companies in the same market segment that diverge on structural positioning. These make it easier to see what actually separates durable advantage from surface-level AI exposure when two companies are competing for the same customers.
February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free: