Next Arc Research

AI-Era Investment Research Beyond the Magnificent 7.
Regular, independent, actionable insights on AI-exposed and future-defining companies.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is a company analysis platform that applies a future-optimistic investing lens to the AI-driven transformation of the global economy. It’s built to help you identify which public companies are best positioned to capture the next wave of value creation over the coming 5 years. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

My analysis combines the latest AI reasoning models with real-time web search to evaluate companies across multiple dimensions:

My AI modeling performs extensive web research, analyzing recent news, earnings reports, clinical trial data, competitive developments, and market trends to provide up-to-date assessments.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 120 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Applied Optoelectronics designs and manufactures optical transceivers and HFC/CATV broadband networking products sold to tier-one cloud, cable, telecom, and FTTH customers. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer is developing the Midnight electric vertical takeoff-and-landing aircraft for regulated air-taxi and defense-adjacent use cases. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI application software and an underlying platform to build, deploy, and operate AI applications for commercial and government customers. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Airship AI provides on-prem and edge-deployed video/sensor ingest, analytics, and permissioned management software for mission-critical public-safety and enterprise security workflows. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs designs high-speed connectivity semiconductors (with embedded management software) used in cloud and AI infrastructure. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella designs low-power edge AI computer-vision semiconductors used in security cameras, robotics/drones, edge infrastructure, and automotive vision systems. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs and sells CPUs, GPUs/AI accelerators, and adaptive computing chips plus software for data centers, PCs, gaming, and embedded markets. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius manufactures high-energy, high-power silicon-anode lithium-ion battery cells primarily for aerospace, defense, and mobility applications. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates a global e-commerce and logistics platform, sells seller/advertising/subscription services, and provides cloud infrastructure and AI services via AWS. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista Networks designs Ethernet switching/routing platforms and a programmable network software stack used in AI/data center, campus, and routing networks. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital designs, develops, and operates high-density data centers and colocation/hosting infrastructure for AI/HPC and other compute workloads in North America. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin runs a performance advertising marketplace and in-app monetization software connecting advertisers with mobile app publishers. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech developing LT-100 (Apitox) for osteoarthritis pain, with a post-merger digital-asset treasury/yield strategy via MindWave. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm designs and licenses CPU architecture and related processor/system IP, earning license fees and per-unit royalties as partners ship Arm-based chips. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML designs and manufactures advanced lithography systems plus software and services used to mass-produce semiconductor chips. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile is building a low-Earth-orbit satellite constellation to deliver cellular broadband directly to standard smartphones via wholesale agreements with mobile operators and government users. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora develops a self-driving system for Class 8 trucking and aims to sell autonomous haulage as a per-mile, driverless service delivered via OEM and carrier partners. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. Designs and manufactures uncrewed aircraft and precision-strike systems plus counter-drone and directed-energy adjacent capabilities for U.S. and allied government customers. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs semiconductor and infrastructure software products used across AI data centers, networking, broadband, wireless, storage, and enterprise IT. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai provides AI-powered decision intelligence software and services primarily to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and homeland security customers. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Clinical-stage biotech developing precision gene-editing medicines, with lead programs targeting liver genetic disease and hematology. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly Network sells handheld ultrasound probes plus cloud software subscriptions and services to clinicians and health systems. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky sells high-frequency satellite imagery, monitoring, and analytics to government and commercial customers via a vertically integrated constellation and software delivery stack. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT manufactures nuclear reactor components and fuel and provides nuclear services for U.S. government and commercial customers, with added exposure to nuclear medicine and advanced reactor programs. CDNS CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS, INC. Cadence licenses EDA software, sells/leases verification hardware, and licenses semiconductor IP used to design and verify chips and electronic systems. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation generates electricity (nuclear and other sources) and sells power, natural gas, and energy solutions to U.S. retail and commercial customers. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica provides engineering-led electronics manufacturing and supply chain services, with major exposure to AI-era data-center networking and compute platforms plus aerospace/defense and industrial end markets. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent manufactures photonics products spanning AI/datacom optical interconnect (transceivers, components) and industrial lasers, optics, and materials. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase operates a regulated crypto trading and safeguarding platform for consumers and institutions and provides onchain infrastructure products for developers. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific operates high-power U.S. data center sites for high-density colocation (AI/HPC) and runs/hosts bitcoin mining workloads. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo designs high-speed copper and optical interconnect products and licenses connectivity IP used in hyperscale AI/data-center networks. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells subscription cloud software for customer relationship management and related enterprise workflows (sales, service, analytics, integration, and collaboration). CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence builds embedded voice and multimodal assistant software plus cloud-connected services that automakers integrate into vehicle programs as white-label experiences. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-based medicines using CRISPR gene editing, spanning commercial hemoglobinopathy therapy economics and a pipeline of in vivo and cell-based programs. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike provides cloud-delivered cybersecurity software and services via the Falcon platform, protecting endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and data. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. Provides GPU-accelerated cloud infrastructure and managed platform services for AI training and inference workloads. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog sells a cloud-based observability and security platform that collects and correlates production telemetry (metrics, logs, traces, and security signals) across customer stacks. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell Technologies designs and sells PCs, servers, storage, networking and related services/financing to commercial, public-sector and consumer customers. DNA GINKGO BIOWORKS HOLDINGS, INC. Provides cell-engineering R&D services, lab automation deployments, data-generation offerings, and biosecurity monitoring to commercial and government customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix operates global data centers and sells colocation plus private interconnection services to enterprises, networks and cloud providers. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells subscriptions and a managed cloud service for search, observability, and security analytics on enterprise data. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton manufactures power-management and electrical infrastructure products plus aerospace systems for data centers, utilities, industry, buildings, and mobility end markets. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides a cloud-based contact-center platform that helps enterprises run and automate customer interactions across voice and digital channels. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence sells utility-scale battery energy storage systems and provides related operational services and optimization software to grid asset owners. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing/assembly/test services for OEMs building complex optical and electro-mechanical products. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Alphabet (Google) monetizes global consumer intent via ads and subscriptions and sells cloud/AI infrastructure and software to enterprises. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise servers, storage, and networking plus hybrid-cloud consumption offerings (GreenLake) and related lifecycle/financial services. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. Clinical-stage immuno-oncology company developing therapies intended to overcome resistance to checkpoint inhibitors in cancer. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 is a power-first digital infrastructure operator developing AI data center capacity while running bitcoin-linked compute and energy assets. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, data preparation/annotation, and related workflow software used by large tech, enterprise, and government customers to build and run AI systems. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ develops trapped-ion quantum computing systems and sells quantum compute access plus related networking/sensing/security offerings to enterprise, government, and cloud-channel customers. IREN IREN Limited IREN develops and operates power-dense data centers, monetizing energy-constrained compute via AI GPU cloud services and Bitcoin mining. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides engineering, manufacturing, and supply-chain services for OEMs, with growing exposure to AI/data-center infrastructure systems and power management. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby develops an all-electric eVTOL aircraft and plans to operate and/or enable air-taxi services plus related aviation services. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos designs and produces defense products and provides related services and software for U.S. government, international government, and commercial customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum designs and manufactures optical and photonic components and systems (including lasers) for data-center/telecom networking, industrial manufacturing, and sensing. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade is a digitally native insurance carrier selling renters, homeowners, pet, car, and life insurance primarily via direct-to-consumer channels. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Designs and sells low-power programmable logic devices plus related software/IP for OEM systems across communications, computing, industrial, automotive, and consumer end markets. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye supplies camera-first ADAS and autonomy systems (EyeQ compute plus software) to global automakers and Tier-1 suppliers. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta operates large consumer social and messaging apps monetized primarily through advertising, plus VR/wearables and related software via Reality Labs. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Designs and sells high-performance power management semiconductors and modules used in computing, data center, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer electronics. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell designs fabless semiconductors for data-center, enterprise, and carrier infrastructure, spanning custom silicon, switching, and high-speed connectivity. MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION Microsoft builds and sells productivity software, cloud infrastructure/services, and related platforms for consumers and enterprises. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy holds bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, funds further accumulation via public-market issuance, and also sells enterprise analytics software and services. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs and manufactures high-performance analog, RF, and optical semiconductors for data center, industrial & defense, and telecom markets. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products used across data center, PC, mobile, automotive, and industrial markets. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius operates an AI-focused cloud platform selling GPU compute and related infrastructure services to developers and enterprises. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy owns Florida Power & Light (a regulated Florida electric utility) and a large U.S. energy infrastructure developer (renewables, storage and transmission). NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare provides cloud-delivered security, performance, and networking services delivered from a global edge network in front of customer applications and networks. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd Nanox develops 3D X-ray imaging systems and sells attached cloud software, AI, and remote radiology services to imaging providers. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow provides a cloud software platform for enterprises to digitize and automate workflows across IT, employee, customer, and security operations. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise storage systems, data management software, and cloud/support services for hybrid and public-cloud environments. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech developing in vivo and ex vivo CRISPR/Cas9 gene-editing therapies, led by lonvo-z (HAE) and nex-z (ATTR). NTRA Natera, Inc. Provides cell-free DNA–based genetic and molecular testing services across oncology, women’s health, and organ health. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs accelerated computing platforms (GPUs, CPUs, networking and software) used across AI data centers, gaming, pro visualization and automotive/robotics. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo is developing advanced nuclear fission power plants plus adjacent fuel and radioisotope initiatives aimed at delivering clean, firm electricity for large-load customers. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs and manufactures power and sensing semiconductors, with a focus on automotive, industrial, and AI data center power applications. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells cloud infrastructure, database software, and enterprise application suites with long-term support and related services. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster sells lidar sensors and software used for perception in automotive, industrial automation, robotics, and smart infrastructure. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Enterprise cybersecurity vendor offering network, cloud, and security-operations platforms delivered via hardware plus predominantly subscription/support revenue, largely sold through channel partners. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells an enterprise automation platform to build, run, and govern software robots and AI agents across business applications. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI develops edge-deployed autonomy software for robotic and unmanned systems and, after recent acquisitions, also delivers defense-focused avionics, engineering services, and precision-manufactured components. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet designs, builds, and operates Earth-observation satellites and sells frequent-revisit imagery plus monitoring solutions to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir sells subscription software used by governments and enterprises to integrate data and run operational workflows across cloud, on‑prem, and edge environments. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs photonic integration products (optical engines, light sources, and optical modules) targeting AI networking and hyperscale data centers. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine develops prime-editing gene editing therapies and related delivery systems for genetic diseases. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services is a specialty contractor providing design, construction, repair and maintenance for electric power, communications, pipeline and related critical infrastructure. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. Develops and delivers quantum computing systems and cloud-accessible quantum and hybrid solvers, plus related services, for commercial, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. Quantum Computing builds integrated photonics and quantum-optics hardware plus related services, including a thin-film lithium niobate photonic chip foundry and early-stage quantum/optimization offerings. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat develops and sells compliant small unmanned aircraft systems and related command-and-control solutions for defense, government, and public safety customers. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. Provides cloud-based identity intelligence (IDI/idiCORE/FOREWARN) used for identity verification, fraud/risk mitigation, due diligence, and compliance workflows. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti builds superconducting quantum computing hardware and provides cloud access plus customer-site installed systems for government, research, and enterprise users. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot operates Bitcoin mining and is converting power-dense Texas sites into leased data-center capacity for AI and high-performance computing customers, plus an electrical engineering products/services segment. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab provides launch services and designs/manufactures spacecraft and satellite components for commercial, government, and national security customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech developing small-molecule therapies for cancer and genetic disease using its Dynamo computational+experimental discovery platform. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus designs memory-interface chips and licenses interface and security silicon IP used in data center and AI-focused computing systems. RR RICHTECH ROBOTICS INC. Develops and sells or leases commercial and industrial robots (including Robots-as-a-Service contracts) for hospitality, retail, and manufacturing customers. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Recursion is a clinical-stage TechBio company combining automated wet-lab experimentation and machine learning to discover and develop drugs and run biopharma collaborations. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells a subscription cybersecurity platform that helps enterprises prevent, detect, and respond to threats across endpoints and cloud environments. SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. Schrödinger develops computational molecular modeling software for drug discovery and materials science and also earns revenue from drug-discovery collaborations and internal programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs and operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots and related fleet/autonomy software, expanding into hospital service robots via acquisitions. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells MEMS-based precision timing products (oscillators, clock ICs, resonators) used across datacenter/comms, automotive, industrial and other electronics markets. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs and manufactures AI-optimized servers, rack-scale data center systems, storage/networking, and related software/support services. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale develops and licenses small modular nuclear reactor technology and provides engineering and project services to utilities, governments, and industrial customers. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake provides a cloud-native data platform for storing, processing, governing, and sharing enterprise data with primarily consumption-based pricing. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys provides electronic design automation (EDA) software, semiconductor IP, and system simulation/analysis tools used to design and validate chips and complex electronic systems. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI sells enterprise voice and conversational AI software that brands embed into restaurant ordering, customer service, and automotive/smart-device experiences. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire Global sells subscription satellite-data products (weather/climate and RF sensing) and provides satellite manufacturing/operations services to government and commercial customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Provides software, edge hardware, and services to monitor, control, and optimize solar, storage, and hybrid power assets. SYM Symbotic Inc. Designs and deploys automated warehouse systems (robots, storage structure, and software) for large retailers and distributors. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus provides genetic testing to providers and licenses de-identified clinical/molecular data plus related trial and AI-application services to life-sciences customers. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Independent power producer selling electricity, capacity, and ancillary services, anchored by Susquehanna nuclear and a PJM-weighted dispatchable fleet. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs and manufactures electric vehicles and sells energy generation/storage systems plus related software and services. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC is the leading pure-play foundry, manufacturing advanced and mature semiconductors (and related packaging/services) for fabless and integrated chip designers. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products (genes, oligo pools, libraries) and adjacent NGS workflow and protein/antibody solutions via direct sales and e-commerce ordering. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures high-density power conversion modules and power systems, and monetizes related IP via licensing/royalties across compute, industrial, and defense end markets. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv designs, manufactures, and services power, thermal, rack, and monitoring infrastructure used in data centers and other critical facilities. VST Vistra Corp. Vistra owns and operates competitive power generation (notably nuclear and gas) and sells electricity/natural gas to retail customers across deregulated U.S. markets. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops, owns, and operates U.S. power-advantaged data center infrastructure for AI-focused hosting and bitcoin mining. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler sells cloud-delivered security subscriptions that route and inspect enterprise traffic to enforce identity- and policy-based access to the internet, SaaS, and private applications.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

This platform leverages the latest AI reasoning models. Each model performs real-time web research and multi-step reasoning to produce comprehensive analyses that go beyond traditional financial metrics; all through a lens of a tech-optimistic future.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Explore these free resources to get a sense of the analysis and insights available: