Next Arc Research

Is it better to stay in the Mag 7 — or are there stronger opportunities as AI reshapes the economy?
We find who's positioned to win before it shows up in the earnings.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 125 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Designs and manufactures optical transceivers, lasers, optical components, and broadband networking products for AI data centers, cable, telecom, and fiber access networks. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric and hybrid VTOL aircraft plus related aviation software and services for commercial and defense markets. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI software, tools, and industry applications for commercial and government customers, with a focus on governed deployment in complex environments. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Airship AI sells AI-driven video, sensor, and data management software plus edge hardware for government and commercial security operations. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs sells connectivity chips, modules and software that help hyperscalers and system partners build and operate rack-scale AI and cloud infrastructure. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella designs low-power edge AI semiconductor chips and software for cameras, vehicles, robotics, and other embedded vision systems. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs and sells data center, client, gaming and embedded compute products including server and PC CPUs, AI GPUs, adaptive silicon, networking products and related software. AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. Amkor is a leading OSAT provider that packages and tests semiconductors for chip companies, foundries, and electronics manufacturers. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius develops and sells high-energy silicon-anode lithium-ion cells and battery products for drones, defense, aerospace, and other weight-sensitive mobility uses. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates a global consumer commerce and logistics network and a large cloud platform, monetizing demand through retail, seller services, advertising, subscriptions, and enterprise infrastructure. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista Networks sells high-performance Ethernet switching, routing, network software, and support for AI, cloud, data center, campus, and wide-area networking environments. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital designs, builds, owns, and operates power-dense data centers and leases AI/HPC capacity to hyperscalers and other compute customers in North America. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides advertising software that helps app publishers and other businesses acquire customers, monetize inventory, and measure performance. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. A micro-cap public company combining Apitox osteoarthritis drug rights with MindWave digital-asset treasury, custody, and yield software activities. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm licenses CPU architectures, compute IP and subsystems, earns per-chip royalties, and is expanding into Arm-designed silicon for AI and cloud workloads. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML supplies advanced lithography systems, related software, metrology and services that chipmakers use to manufacture semiconductors at scale. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile is building a space-based cellular broadband network that connects standard smartphones through mobile carrier partners and government customers. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver autonomous driving system and is commercializing driverless freight services for trucking customers. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. AeroVironment develops autonomous defense systems including military drones, strike systems, counter-drone products, directed-energy and space/cyber capabilities, and mission software for U.S. and allied customers. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products for cloud, enterprise, broadband, wireless and industrial customers. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai provides AI software and related services for defense, intelligence, homeland security, aviation screening, trade, and travel workflows. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Beam Therapeutics develops one-time genetic medicines based on base editing for sickle cell disease and rare liver and metabolic disorders. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly Network sells handheld single-probe ultrasound devices, cloud workflow software, education, and embedded ultrasound-chip licensing to healthcare customers and partners. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky sells low-latency satellite imagery, AI-enabled analytics, and mission solutions to government and commercial customers through its owned constellation and software stack. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT designs, manufactures and services nuclear components, fuel and technical solutions for U.S. government programs and commercial nuclear power customers. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs wafer-scale AI processors, rack-scale systems, and cloud services for large-model training and ultra-low-latency inference. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence provides software, semiconductor IP, hardware emulation, and system analysis tools used to design, verify, and optimize chips and electronic systems. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation generates electricity from nuclear, natural gas, hydro, wind, and solar assets and sells power and energy solutions to utilities, businesses, public-sector customers, and households in the United States. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica designs, engineers, manufactures, and supports data-center hardware platforms and other complex electronic products for large cloud, communications, and industrial customers. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent develops and manufactures photonics products including optical transceivers, lasers, modules, systems, and engineered materials for communications, industrial, instrumentation, and electronics markets. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase operates consumer, institutional, and developer infrastructure for trading digital assets, custody, payments, and onchain applications. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific designs, builds and operates U.S. power-backed data centers for high-density AI colocation while still running smaller digital asset self-mining and hosted mining businesses. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo designs high-speed copper and optical interconnect chips, cables, modules, and related diagnostics for AI and cloud data infrastructure. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells cloud software for CRM, customer service, collaboration, data, integration, analytics, and AI automation to enterprises. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence develops and licenses conversational AI software, connected services, and agentic workflows for automotive OEMs and mobility customers. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-edited medicines, shares in CASGEVY economics with Vertex, and is advancing broader in vivo, cell therapy, and cardiometabolic programs. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike sells cloud-delivered cybersecurity software and services that protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, data, and security operations. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave operates a GPU-focused AI cloud and related software stack for training, inference, storage, orchestration, and enterprise AI deployments. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog sells a cloud observability, security, and AI operations platform that helps enterprises monitor, analyze, and act on software and infrastructure workloads. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell Technologies designs, manufactures, sells and supports servers, storage, PCs, networking, software, financing and related services worldwide. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells automated lab infrastructure, biological R&D services, data generation, and related software tools to pharma, biotech, industrial, and government customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix operates carrier-neutral data centers and interconnection services that let enterprises, cloud providers and networks colocate infrastructure and connect to each other. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells cloud and self-managed software for enterprise search, observability, and security on top of the Elasticsearch platform. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton makes electrical power equipment, controls, software and aerospace systems used in data centers, utilities, buildings, industry and aircraft. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud contact center software, telephony, workflow automation, and AI tools for enterprise customer service and sales operations. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence sells grid-scale battery storage systems, long-term services, and optimization software for utilities, developers, and large power users. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical and electronic manufacturing services to OEMs of complex products. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Alphabet operates Google’s search, advertising, video, cloud, subscription, platform, and device businesses, plus selected long-term technology bets. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise servers, storage, networking, hybrid-cloud software and services, and IT financing for commercial, enterprise, and public-sector customers. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. TuHURA Biosciences is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company developing therapies intended to overcome resistance to cancer immunotherapy. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 develops, commercializes, and operates power-backed data center, compute, cloud, and digital asset infrastructure across North America. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, evaluation, and deployment-support services and software to frontier labs, large technology companies, enterprises, and government customers. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ builds trapped-ion quantum computing systems and sells access through its own cloud and partner clouds, while expanding into quantum networking, security, sensing, space data, and semiconductor manufacturing services. IREN IREN Limited IREN builds and operates grid-connected data centers, GPU cloud infrastructure and related software for AI training and inference, while also operating Bitcoin mining capacity. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides engineering, supply chain, and outsourced manufacturing for cloud infrastructure, healthcare, industrial, automotive, and connected-device customers. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft and is building passenger air-taxi, defense, training and related mobility services around them. KDK Kodiak AI, Inc. Kodiak AI develops and deploys autonomous driving software, hardware, and operating services for long-haul trucking, industrial fleets, and defense ground vehicles. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos sells unmanned aircraft, propulsion, rocket and microwave systems, satellite ground infrastructure, and mission software to U.S. and allied defense customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum designs and manufactures optical and photonic components, lasers, modules, and switching products for AI/cloud networks, telecom transport, and industrial applications. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade is a digital insurer that sells renters, homeowners, car, pet, and term life policies in the U.S. and parts of Europe through its own app and partner integrations. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Lattice Semiconductor designs low-power programmable chips, development tools, and firmware/manageability software used in AI servers, communications gear, industrial equipment, and embedded systems. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye develops and supplies automotive vision chips, mapping, safety software, and autonomous-driving systems for automakers and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta runs Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and Messenger, monetizing global user attention mainly through advertising while expanding AI tools, business messaging and consumer devices. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells semiconductor-based power management chips, modules, and related tools used in data center, storage, automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer systems. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell designs semiconductor and connectivity products used in AI, cloud, carrier and enterprise data infrastructure. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft sells cloud infrastructure, productivity software, business applications, security, developer tools, devices, and gaming services to consumers, enterprises, and public-sector customers. MSTR Strategy Inc. Strategy combines a large bitcoin treasury and multi-security capital stack with enterprise analytics, cloud, support, and services software. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs and manufactures specialty RF, microwave, analog, mixed-signal and optical semiconductor products for data center, telecom, industrial and defense customers. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage semiconductors, including DRAM, NAND, NOR, HBM and SSD products for data center, client, mobile and automotive markets. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius sells AI cloud infrastructure, managed AI platform services, and related developer tooling, while also owning Avride and TripleTen. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy is a large U.S. electric utility and power infrastructure company that owns Florida Power & Light and develops generation, storage, transmission, gas and nuclear assets through NextEra Energy Resources. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare runs a global network that helps customers secure applications, route traffic, improve performance, and deploy developer services closer to users. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox sells lower-cost 3D imaging systems, imaging AI software, teleradiology services, and healthcare IT tools to medical providers. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells cloud software that helps large organizations automate and govern workflows across IT, employee, customer, security, and AI-related operations. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise storage systems, data management software, support, and cloud storage services for customers running data across on-premises and public clouds. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Intellia develops CRISPR-based gene editing medicines for severe diseases, led by hereditary angioedema and transthyretin amyloidosis programs. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera sells cell-free DNA and genetic testing services across oncology, women’s health, and organ health, with growing value in repeated disease surveillance workflows. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs and sells accelerated computing chips, systems, networking and software used for AI, cloud, gaming, robotics and autonomous systems. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo develops fast-fission power plants, fuel-cycle capabilities, and isotope-production assets aimed at clean baseload power, fuel services, and radioisotopes. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs, manufactures, and sells power and sensing semiconductor devices used in automotive, industrial, and AI data center systems. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells database software, enterprise applications, cloud infrastructure, and healthcare IT systems to enterprises, governments, and regulated industries. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster designs and sells digital lidar sensors, cameras, and perception software used in industrial automation, robotics, smart infrastructure, automotive, and security applications. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells network security, cloud security, security operations, identity security, observability and related subscriptions and support to enterprises and public-sector customers. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells enterprise software that coordinates AI agents, robots, APIs, documents, and people inside governed business workflows. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI builds autonomy software, avionics, UAV systems, precision-manufactured components, and engineering services for defense, aerospace, industrial, and public-sector customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet operates an Earth-observation constellation and sells satellite imagery, geospatial data, analytics, tasking, and satellite services to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir builds software for governments and enterprises to integrate data, manage operations, and deploy AI-enabled workflows in sensitive environments. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs photonic integrated optical engines, light-source products and selected custom optical modules for AI systems and hyperscale data centers. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company developing Prime Editing genetic therapies for Wilson disease, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, chronic granulomatous disease, and partnered programs. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services provides design, engineering, construction, upgrade, repair and maintenance services for electric, utility, communications and large-load infrastructure. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave develops and sells quantum computing systems, cloud access, software, and related services for commercial, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. Quantum Computing Inc. sells photonic and quantum hardware products and provides photonic chip foundry and advanced packaging services for government, educational, and commercial customers. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat builds and sells small defense drones, uncrewed surface vessels, controllers, and related mission software for military, government, and public safety users. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. red violet sells identity intelligence software and data products for identity verification, fraud and risk, compliance, investigative, and professional safety workflows. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti designs and manufactures superconducting quantum processors and systems, and sells cloud and on-premises access to its quantum computing stack for government, research, and enterprise users. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot develops power-rich campuses, bitcoin mining operations, and electrical engineering capabilities for crypto and AI data-center workloads. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab provides launch services, spacecraft, satellite components, and mission software and operations for commercial, civil, and defense customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Relay Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing precision small-molecule therapies for cancer and genetic disease using its Dynamo discovery engine. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus designs, sells and licenses memory interface chips, security IP and interface IP used in servers, AI systems and other data-intensive semiconductor platforms. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics develops, deploys, and services task-specific robots and Robots-as-a-Service offerings for hospitality, retail, healthcare, and light industrial workflows. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Recursion is a clinical-stage biotechnology company using an AI-native drug discovery system, automated labs, and proprietary data to build internal medicines and partner programs. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells AI-driven cybersecurity software and services that protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and AI environments for enterprises, governments, and partners. SDGR Schrodinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells physics-based molecular design software and uses the same platform in partnered and proprietary drug discovery programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs and operates autonomous delivery robots and hospital service robots, selling fleet and software services to restaurants, delivery platforms, brands, and health systems. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells MEMS-based precision timing and clocking semiconductors for data center, communications, industrial, automotive, aerospace, mobile and consumer electronics. SKHY SK hynix Inc. SK hynix makes DRAM, HBM, NAND, and storage products used in AI servers, data centers, mobile devices, and other electronics. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs, manufactures, and sells servers, storage, networking, liquid-cooled rack systems, and related management software for AI, cloud, and enterprise customers. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale designs and commercializes small modular nuclear reactor technology plus related engineering, licensing, training, and plant support services for utilities, industrial users, and project developers. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake provides a cloud data platform that lets enterprises store, analyze, share, and use data and AI workloads across major public clouds. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys provides chip design software, semiconductor IP, simulation and analysis tools, cloud-delivered engineering workflows, and related services for semiconductor and systems developers. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. Provides voice and conversational AI software that helps enterprises automate customer and employee interactions across phone, chat, kiosks, vehicles, TVs, and other connected devices. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX sells launch and spacecraft services, Starlink connectivity, secure government space systems, and a fast-growing AI infrastructure and software stack. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire Global sells satellite-derived data, analytics, and space services to government and commercial customers using its owned low Earth orbit constellation and related ground and software infrastructure. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem sells software, edge controls, and services that monitor, manage, and optimize solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets for owners, operators, EPCs, and developers. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic builds automated warehouse systems that combine robotics, software, and services for large retail, wholesale, food, beverage, and distribution customers. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus AI provides oncology and genetic testing, clinical workflow software, and de-identified data products for healthcare providers and life-science companies. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Talen Energy is an independent power producer that owns nuclear and dispatchable generation and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services, including power for large data-center loads. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles, battery storage systems and related software and services through a vertically integrated direct-to-customer model. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC is the world's leading pure-play semiconductor manufacturer, producing advanced logic chips and advanced packaging for fabless and integrated device customers. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products, NGS tools, and antibody discovery solutions for biotech, pharma, diagnostics, industrial, academic, and research customers. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures high-density modular power components and systems that convert and manage electricity for computing, industrial, telecom, transportation, and defense applications. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv designs, builds, deploys and services power, cooling, rack and control infrastructure for data centers and other mission-critical digital facilities. VST Vistra Corp. Competitive power producer and retail electricity supplier with a diversified U.S. fleet across gas, nuclear, solar, and batteries plus multiple retail power brands. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops and operates power-backed U.S. digital infrastructure for AI and high-performance computing hosting while retaining residual bitcoin mining operations. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler sells cloud-delivered zero trust security services that securely connect users, devices, applications, branches, and workloads for enterprises and government agencies.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

March 2026 - Week 2
Cleaner Glossary Tooltips
  • Glossary tooltips are now more precise. Common words like "multiple," "platform," and "converts" that have both financial and everyday meanings are no longer highlighted when used in their generic sense, reducing visual noise across company pages.
March 2026 - Week 1
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis engine to GPT-5.4 from OpenAI. As with any model upgrade, you may notice some shifts in scores or rankings compared to prior weeks — this reflects the newer model's improved reasoning, not necessarily a change in our methodology or the companies themselves.
February 2026 - Week 4
Sharper Scores, Steadier Rankings
  • Last Economy Alignment scores now do a better job distinguishing companies with genuinely different structural positions. Previously, scores tended to cluster in a narrow band; the updated scoring spreads them out so you can more easily see which companies own durable advantages versus which ones look strong today but may be exposed as constraints fall. You may notice some companies shifting position relative to last week as a result—this reflects better calibration, not a change in the underlying analysis.
  • Breakout candidate rankings are now smoothed over recent weeks instead of recalculated from scratch each time. This means less week-to-week noise—a company won't jump in and out of breakout contention on minor data fluctuations, giving you a more reliable signal of which names are genuinely gaining momentum.
Contrast Pair Stories
  • New story format: we now publish head-to-head comparisons of two companies in the same market segment that diverge on structural positioning. These make it easier to see what actually separates durable advantage from surface-level AI exposure when two companies are competing for the same customers.
February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free: