Next Arc Research

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

• Growth Potential: Where could this company be in 5 years? Scores range from flat/declining to 10x+.
• Risk Profile: 10 weighted factors — technology maturity, regulatory exposure, capital needs, macro sensitivity, and more.
• AI Advantage: Not "does this company use AI?" but "does AI make this company harder to compete with?"
• Competitive Position: Who are the real threats, and where are the durable edges?
• Week-over-Week Trends: How are scores shifting? What's improving or deteriorating before it hits the headlines?

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

• AI & Machine Learning infrastructure and applications
• Biotechnology and AI-driven drug discovery
• Quantum computing and advanced semiconductors
• Robotics and automation
• Fintech and crypto infrastructure
• Cloud computing and SaaS platforms
• Energy transition and climate tech

Currently covering 125 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Applied Optoelectronics designs and manufactures optical networking products, lasers, broadband amplifiers, and related systems used in AI data centers, cable broadband, telecom, and fiber access networks. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric and hybrid vertical takeoff aircraft plus related autonomy, airspace and defense technologies for commercial and government aviation markets. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI software, developer tools, and prebuilt applications used to build, deploy, and govern AI workflows across commercial and government environments. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Airship AI sells software, edge appliances, and workflow tools that help government and enterprise users analyze video, sensor, and other security data in sovereign or on-premises environments. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs designs semiconductor-based connectivity products and related system-management software used in AI and cloud infrastructure built by hyperscalers, OEMs, and ODMs. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella designs low-power semiconductor processors and software for edge and physical AI devices used in automotive, security, robotics, and intelligent infrastructure. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs and sells CPUs, GPUs, AI accelerators, networking products and adaptive chips for data center, PC, gaming and embedded markets. AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. Amkor is a leading OSAT that packages and tests semiconductors for chip companies, foundries and electronics OEMs. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius develops and sells silicon-anode lithium-ion batteries for drones, defense, aviation, and other weight-sensitive mobility applications. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon runs global online retail and third-party marketplace services, AWS cloud and AI infrastructure, advertising, subscriptions, and large-scale logistics networks. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista sells Ethernet switching, routing, and network software platforms for AI, cloud data center, campus, and wide-area networks. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital designs, builds, owns, and operates purpose-built data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing workloads, while also hosting crypto-mining customers and owning a majority stake in ChronoScale. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides software that helps advertisers acquire users and helps app and connected-TV publishers monetize inventory. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech with retained Apitox rights and a wholly owned MindWave subsidiary providing blockchain infrastructure and digital-asset workflow services. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm licenses CPU, GPU and system IP, sells compute subsystems and tools, and is expanding into Arm-designed silicon for AI, cloud, edge and automotive markets. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML supplies lithography, metrology, inspection, software and service systems used by chipmakers to manufacture semiconductors. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile builds satellites and ground infrastructure that let mobile operators extend cellular broadband directly to standard smartphones. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora builds autonomous trucking technology and deploys its driverless system with truck, carrier, and logistics partners on commercial freight routes. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. AeroVironment is a U.S. defense technology company that builds autonomous systems, precision strike systems, counter-drone technologies, directed energy systems, space platforms, and cyber/electronic warfare capabilities for U.S. and allied government customers. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products spanning AI accelerators, networking, private cloud, cybersecurity, wireless, broadband and storage. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai provides AI software, SaaS subscriptions, and deployment services for defense, intelligence, border security, and trade and travel workflows. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Beam Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing one-time genetic medicines using base editing for sickle cell disease, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, phenylketonuria, and glycogen storage disease type Ia. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly Network sells handheld whole-body ultrasound devices, cloud workflow software, education tools, and partner licensing built around its semiconductor ultrasound platform. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky provides real-time space-based intelligence by combining its imaging satellite constellation with tasking, analytics, and delivery software for government and commercial customers. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT designs and manufactures nuclear components, reactors and fuel, and provides engineering and technical services to U.S. government and commercial nuclear customers. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs wafer-scale AI processors and systems and sells AI compute through on-premises deployments and cloud inference services. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence sells software, silicon IP and hardware used to design, verify and simulate semiconductors and complex engineered systems. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation generates electricity from a large U.S. nuclear and dispatchable power fleet and sells power, gas, and energy services to commercial, industrial, and retail customers. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica provides design, manufacturing, platform hardware, rack integration, and supply-chain solutions for cloud, communications, and high-reliability industrial customers. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent is a vertically integrated photonics manufacturer supplying optical components, modules, systems, and engineered materials to datacenter, communications, and industrial markets. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase runs a crypto trading, custody, stablecoin, payments, and developer infrastructure platform for consumers, institutions, and businesses. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific builds and operates U.S. power-dense data center campuses for AI colocation while still generating revenue from bitcoin self-mining and hosted mining. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Fabless semiconductor company selling high-speed copper and optical interconnect products, chips and connectivity software for AI and cloud data centers. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells cloud software for sales, service, marketing, data, collaboration, and increasingly AI-driven customer workflows. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence AI sells embedded and connected conversational AI software that helps automakers deliver branded in-car assistants, connected services, and adjacent mobility agents. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-edited medicines across hematology, cardiometabolic disease, autoimmune disease and oncology, and shares CASGEVY economics with Vertex. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike provides a cloud-native cybersecurity platform that protects endpoints, cloud workloads, identity, data, and security operations for enterprises and government customers. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave provides GPU-accelerated cloud infrastructure, inference services, and developer workflow software for AI labs, developers, and enterprises. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog provides a cloud software platform for monitoring, security, troubleshooting, and automation across applications, infrastructure, logs, user experience, and AI workloads. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell Technologies sells servers, storage, networking, PCs and lifecycle services, increasingly packaging them into enterprise AI infrastructure solutions. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells autonomous laboratory infrastructure, biology data-generation services, and related workflow support to biopharma, research, and government customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix operates carrier-neutral data centers and interconnection services that let enterprises, cloud providers and network providers colocate infrastructure and connect privately across global metros. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells search, observability, and security software plus managed cloud services built on a shared data and retrieval platform. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton sells mission-critical electrical power equipment, aerospace systems, and related services to utilities, data centers, industrial, commercial, residential, and aerospace customers. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud contact center software plus AI, voice, routing, workflow, and analytics tools for enterprises. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence sells utility-scale battery energy storage systems, related long-term services, and optimization software to utilities, developers, and large power users. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services for complex products used in data center, communications, and other precision hardware markets. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Alphabet operates Google’s advertising, search, YouTube, cloud, AI, subscription, and device businesses for consumers, advertisers, developers, and enterprises. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise networking, compute, storage, hybrid and private cloud software, related services, and financing to commercial and public-sector customers. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. Clinical-stage immuno-oncology company developing therapies intended to overcome resistance to cancer immunotherapy, led by IFx-2.0 in Merkel cell carcinoma and TBS-2025 in a genetically defined AML subset. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 develops and operates powered digital infrastructure, including AI data center campuses, bitcoin mining sites, and cloud and colocation assets. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, evaluation, benchmarking, and trust-oriented workflow services to model builders, enterprises, and government customers. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ sells trapped-ion quantum computing systems, cloud access, and adjacent networking, sensing, and security products to commercial and government customers. IREN IREN Limited IREN develops, owns and operates power-dense data centers for AI cloud, colocation and managed services, while still monetizing some capacity through bitcoin mining. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides engineering, supply chain, and advanced manufacturing services for complex electronics and AI infrastructure programs across global end markets. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby develops electric takeoff-and-landing aircraft, autonomy systems, and premium passenger air services through Blade. KDK Kodiak AI, Inc. Kodiak AI develops autonomous driving systems, modular hardware, and related services for trucking, industrial, and defense customers. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos develops unmanned systems, propulsion, hypersonic and microwave hardware, satellite ground systems, and related defense technologies for U.S. and allied mission customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum makes optical and photonic components, modules, switches, and lasers used in AI and cloud networking, telecom, industrial manufacturing, and sensing. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade is a digital personal-lines insurer that sells renters, homeowners, car, pet, and life coverage through its app, website, partners, and agents. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Designs low-power FPGAs plus platform firmware and infrastructure manageability software used in servers, networking, industrial, automotive, and embedded systems. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye develops automotive vision chips, mapping, and full-stack driver-assistance and autonomous-driving systems for automakers, suppliers, and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta operates Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger and Threads, monetizing global consumer attention mainly through digital advertising while investing heavily in AI and immersive hardware. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells high-performance power-management semiconductors and modules for data centers, vehicles, communications, industrial, and consumer electronics. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell designs semiconductors and related platforms for AI, cloud and communications infrastructure, spanning custom compute-adjacent silicon, connectivity, storage and security. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft develops and sells software, cloud infrastructure, productivity tools, security products, devices, and online advertising for consumers, developers, and enterprises. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy operates a bitcoin treasury business and sells enterprise analytics software, cloud subscriptions, and related services to organizations. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs and manufactures analog, RF, microwave, photonic and optical semiconductors for data center, telecom, industrial and defense applications. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron develops, manufactures and sells DRAM, NAND, NOR memory and storage products for data center, client, mobile, automotive and industrial customers. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius runs an AI-native cloud that sells GPU compute, storage, managed inference and developer tooling to AI builders and enterprises. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy owns Florida Power & Light and NextEra Energy Resources, combining a fast-growing regulated Florida utility with a large contracted power, storage, transmission and gas development platform. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare sells cloud-based security, networking, and developer services that sit in the traffic path to secure, connect, and accelerate applications, users, and AI-era workloads. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox sells digital tomosynthesis imaging systems plus AI, cloud, teleradiology, marketplace and health IT services for medical imaging workflows. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells cloud software that helps large organizations automate and govern IT, employee, customer, security, and other business workflows. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise storage systems, data management software, and cloud data services that help customers manage data across on-premises, hybrid, and multi-cloud environments. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Intellia develops gene-editing medicines, led by lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema and nex-z for transthyretin amyloidosis. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera develops and runs molecular diagnostics tests used in oncology, women’s health, hereditary screening, and transplant monitoring. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs accelerated computing chips, AI systems, networking and software used to train and run AI, alongside gaming and edge platforms. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo is developing advanced nuclear power plants plus adjacent fuel-cycle and isotope capabilities to sell reliable clean power and critical isotope supply in the United States. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs and manufactures power and sensing semiconductors used in automotive, industrial, energy infrastructure and AI data center systems. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells enterprise database software, cloud applications, cloud infrastructure, hardware, and related services to businesses and public-sector customers. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster sells digital lidar sensors, cameras, AI compute, and perception software for industrial, robotics, automotive, defense-adjacent, and smart infrastructure deployments. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells cybersecurity platforms, subscriptions, products, and services spanning network, cloud, security operations, AI, and identity security. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells enterprise automation and orchestration software that helps organizations run workflows across AI agents, robots, APIs, and people. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI sells autonomy software, avionics, UAV systems, precision-manufactured components, and engineering services to defense, aerospace, and industrial customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet operates an Earth observation satellite fleet and sells imagery, geospatial data, software, and sovereign satellite services to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir sells software that connects data, AI models, decisions, and operational workflows for governments and enterprises. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs photonic integration products such as optical engines, light sources and custom modules for AI systems and hyperscale data centers. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing prime-editing gene therapies for rare genetic diseases, with lead programs in Wilson disease, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, and chronic granulomatous disease. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services designs, builds, upgrades, repairs and maintains electric power, underground utility, generation, load center, communications and energy infrastructure. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave develops quantum computing systems, cloud services, software, and related services for commercial, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. Quantum Computing Inc. develops room-temperature photonic quantum systems, AI photonic modules, secure-communications products, and U.S.-based foundry and advanced packaging services. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat designs and sells U.S.-made small drones, uncrewed maritime systems, and related autonomy, control, and power products for defense, government, public safety, and security users. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. red violet sells cloud-based identity intelligence software and data solutions for identity verification, fraud and risk workflows, compliance, investigations, and professional safety. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti designs and manufactures superconducting quantum processors and sells customer-site quantum systems plus cloud access and related services to government, research, and enterprise users. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot develops and operates bitcoin mining facilities, electrical engineering and fabrication operations, and large-scale data center campuses for third-party compute tenants. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab provides launch services, spacecraft, satellite components, and related mission software and services for commercial, government, and defense customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech using a computational and experimental discovery engine to develop small-molecule medicines for cancer and genetic disease. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus designs and sells memory interface chips, silicon IP, and patent licenses used in data center, AI, and other semiconductor systems. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics designs, manufactures, deploys, and services commercial and light-industrial robotic systems, including subscription-style automation offerings, for hospitality, retail, logistics, healthcare, and manufacturing customers. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Recursion is a clinical-stage biotech that uses proprietary biological data, automated labs, and AI-driven software to discover and develop internal and partnered medicines. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells an AI-native cybersecurity platform that protects endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and security operations for enterprises and public-sector customers. SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells computational molecular discovery software to pharma, biotech, industrial, and academic customers while also monetizing collaborative and proprietary drug discovery programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs and operates autonomous delivery and service robots and sells related software and data-enabled services to restaurants, delivery platforms, and hospitals. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells precision timing semiconductors and related software used in communications, data center, automotive, industrial, aerospace, mobile and consumer electronics. SKHY SK hynix Inc. SK hynix manufactures DRAM, NAND flash, HBM, and related memory products used in AI servers, data centers, PCs, mobile devices, and storage systems. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs and manufactures servers, storage, networking, rack-scale AI systems, and related management software and services for cloud, enterprise, and data center customers. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale designs small modular nuclear reactor systems and sells related engineering, licensing, training, and plant services to utilities, industrial users, and project developers. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake provides a cloud-based data platform that lets organizations consolidate data, analyze it, build data applications, and share data and AI products through a consumption-based model. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys sells chip-design software, semiconductor IP, simulation and analysis tools, and related cloud and verification products to semiconductor and systems companies. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI sells voice and agentic AI software that lets enterprises deploy conversational experiences across phone, chat, vehicles, devices, kiosks, drive-thrus, and other channels. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX sells launch and spacecraft services, Starlink satellite connectivity, and AI infrastructure, model, and application products to consumer, enterprise, government, and defense customers. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire sells satellite-derived weather, aviation, radio-frequency intelligence, and space-services data to government and commercial customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem sells software, edge hardware, and managed services that monitor, control, and optimize solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic designs, deploys, and supports AI-enabled robotic warehouse systems and software for large retailers, wholesalers, and distributors. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus provides molecular diagnostics, AI-enabled clinical workflow software, and data products to physicians, health systems, and biopharma customers. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Independent power producer owning U.S. nuclear and gas generation and selling electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into wholesale markets while pursuing large-load contracts. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs, manufactures, sells and leases electric vehicles and energy storage systems, and monetizes related software, charging and services through a vertically integrated stack. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC is the leading pure-play semiconductor foundry, manufacturing advanced logic wafers and packaging for global chip designers. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products and related sequencing, antibody discovery, and characterization services for biotech, pharma, diagnostics, industrial, and research customers. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures high-density power modules and systems, and monetizes related patents through licenses for AI, industrial, transportation, aerospace and defense customers. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co. Vertiv designs, manufactures, installs and services power, cooling, rack, monitoring and related infrastructure used in data centers, communication networks and other mission-critical facilities. VST Vistra Corp. Vistra is an integrated U.S. power company that owns generation assets and sells electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in competitive markets. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops and operates U.S. power-backed data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing workloads while still running legacy bitcoin mining infrastructure. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler provides cloud-delivered Zero Trust security that routes enterprise and government user, device, workload, and application traffic through its Zero Trust Exchange.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

• Understanding the landscape: The growth buckets, alignment scores, and forecast 2030 opportunity help readers form a high-level view of where each company or network sits in the AI-era stack — who is structurally advantaged, who faces hard limits, and which segments (chips, robotics, biotech, crypto infrastructure) are accelerating or stagnating.
• Spotting movement week-to-week: Many people scan the weekly score changes, risk shifts, and narrative updates to identify companies where something meaningful changed — a new disclosure, a roadmap shift, a competitive surprise, or a macro factor the model picked up. It’s a quick way to know which names might deserve a closer look.
• Comparing peers within a theme: The interactive screener and the CSV tables let readers compare companies inside the same category (e.g. GPU vendors, cloud platforms, agentic AI, biofoundry automation, blockspace networks) to see how their growth/risk profiles differ and how the “story” changes over time.
• Interpreting ETFs and thematic exposure: For those who invest mostly through ETFs, the coverage list and sector tags can help clarify which underlying companies drive exposure to specific themes — and where concentration, correlation, or dependence on a small number of AI-era winners might exist.
• Deep-dive reasoning: The long-form sections (thesis, critique, growth reasoning, risk commentary, ecosystem momentum, comparative advantage, and ELI5 explanations) give readers a structured narrative to reflect on: what is driving a company’s potential and what could undermine it. People often use these as prompts for their own due-diligence questions.
• Tracking themes and developing conviction: Some readers use the trend commentary, risk dimension breakdowns, and scenario narratives to build a mental model of where AI-era value is likely to concentrate over the next several years — not as price forecasts, but as a way to reason about technological direction, market structure, and strategic positioning.

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

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About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free:

• Top 5 AI-Leveraged Companies (Free PDF) — This week's five highest-ranked companies, with growth scores, risk profiles, and what gives each one an edge
• Weekly Update Preview (Sample Analysis) — The week's biggest moves across all ~120 companies — themes, sector shifts, winners, and risk changes
• Builder Tier Sample PDF — A complete company report showing every dimension of the analysis (as of October 2025)
• Breakout Candidates (Free) — Companies passing our structural screen for breakout potential, with timing signals, failure modes, and the evidence behind each pick