Next Arc Research

Is it better to stay in the Mag 7 — or are there stronger opportunities as AI reshapes the economy?
We find who's positioned to win before it shows up in the earnings.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 125 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Applied Optoelectronics designs and manufactures fiber-optic networking products, including data-center transceivers, lasers and broadband access equipment, for cloud, cable, telecom and fiber customers. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft and related autonomy, airspace and defense aviation technologies. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI software and applications that help large organizations build, deploy, govern, and run AI-driven workflows across commercial and public-sector environments. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Airship AI sells edge hardware, AI software, and visualization tools that turn video, sensor, and other unstructured data into operational intelligence for government and commercial users. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs sells semiconductor connectivity chips, modules, and embedded software that help hyperscalers and OEMs build AI and cloud servers, racks, and clusters. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella designs low-power edge AI semiconductor chips and supporting software for cameras, vehicles, robotics and other physical-world devices. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs and sells CPUs, GPUs, networking products and software for data center, client, gaming and embedded markets. AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. Amkor provides outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services for chip companies, foundries and electronics manufacturers. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius develops and sells silicon-anode lithium-ion battery cells for drones, aviation, defense, and other electric mobility applications. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates a global online marketplace, fulfillment and delivery network, subscription ecosystem, digital advertising business, and AWS cloud platform. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista sells high-performance Ethernet switches, routing, network operations software, and related services for AI, cloud, campus, and wide-area networks. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital develops, owns, and operates power-secured data centers and hosting infrastructure for AI, high-performance computing, and legacy crypto workloads. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides AI-driven advertising, app monetization, and measurement software that helps advertisers acquire users and publishers maximize app revenue. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. Clinical-stage Apitox rights holder that also, through MindWave, provides blockchain infrastructure services and holds digital assets. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm develops CPU and related compute platform intellectual property, licenses it to chipmakers, device makers and cloud providers, earns license fees plus per-chip royalties, and is expanding into Arm-designed silicon. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML sells lithography, metrology, inspection, software and service systems used by chipmakers to manufacture advanced semiconductors. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile builds satellites and ground infrastructure that let ordinary smartphones connect directly to space-based cellular broadband through mobile carrier partners and government customers. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver autonomous driving system and is commercializing driverless freight trucking through partner truck makers, carriers, and logistics platforms. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. Designs, produces, and supports autonomous defense systems spanning loitering munitions, drones, counter-drone, directed-energy, space, cyber, and electronic-warfare missions for U.S. and allied governments. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products spanning AI accelerators, networking, private-cloud software, security, broadband and connectivity markets. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai develops secure AI, generative AI, biometrics, and orchestration software and services for defense, intelligence, border security, and logistics customers. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Beam Therapeutics develops base-editing genetic medicines for sickle cell disease and inherited liver-related genetic disorders. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly sells handheld ultrasound probes, cloud workflow software, and licensed Ultrasound-on-Chip technology to clinicians, health systems, educators, and developers. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky sells subscription satellite imagery, analytics, and sovereign mission systems through its Spectra software and owned low-earth-orbit constellation. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT manufactures nuclear fuel, reactor components and related services for U.S. government programs and commercial nuclear operators. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs wafer-scale AI compute systems and sells both on-premises hardware and cloud-based AI inference capacity. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence sells mission-critical software, semiconductor IP, emulation hardware, cloud delivery, and analysis tools used to design chips and complex electronic systems. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation Energy generates and sells electricity, natural gas, and related energy solutions, anchored by a large U.S. nuclear and dispatchable power fleet. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica designs, engineers, manufactures and integrates data-center, communications and industrial hardware platforms, with rising exposure to AI networking, racks and deployment services. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent develops and manufactures photonics components, transceivers, lasers, engineered materials, and optical systems for datacenter, communications, and industrial customers. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase operates consumer and institutional crypto trading, custody, payments, and developer infrastructure, and is expanding toward broader multi-asset market plumbing. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific owns and operates U.S. powered campuses that provide high-density colocation for AI workloads while retaining residual bitcoin self-mining and hosted mining operations. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo designs high-speed connectivity semiconductors, cables, optical modules and diagnostics software used in AI, cloud and hyperscale data-center networks. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells enterprise cloud software for customer relationship management, collaboration, data, analytics, automation, and AI-driven workflow execution. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence develops and licenses AI assistants, connected services, and embedded software for automakers and Tier 1 vehicle suppliers. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-edited medicines for serious diseases, led by CASGEVY and a pipeline spanning cardiovascular, autoimmune, oncology and diabetes programs. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike sells cloud-delivered cybersecurity subscriptions and services that protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and data for enterprises worldwide. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave provides AI-focused cloud infrastructure and software for model training, inference, observability, and continuous AI development. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog sells a SaaS observability and security platform that helps enterprises monitor, secure, and automate cloud applications and AI-era workloads. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell Technologies sells servers, storage, networking, PCs, services and financing to enterprises, governments and consumers. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells automated biology R&D services, lab data products, cloud lab access, and deployable autonomous lab systems to commercial and government customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix operates carrier-neutral data centers and interconnection services that let enterprises, networks, cloud providers and partners place infrastructure in the same metros and connect privately. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells self-managed and cloud software for enterprise search, observability, and security, helping customers search, monitor, and protect large volumes of data. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton makes electrical power distribution and management equipment, related digital controls, aerospace systems, and other power-management products for data center, utility, industrial, building, and aerospace customers. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud contact center software, related telephony services, and AI capabilities for enterprise customer service, sales, and marketing workflows. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence designs and integrates utility-scale battery storage systems and sells related controls, optimization software, and lifecycle services to utilities, developers, power producers, and commercial customers. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services for complex communications, datacenter, industrial, medical and automotive products. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Google sells digital advertising, cloud infrastructure and software, subscriptions, and devices across Search, YouTube, Android, Chrome, Workspace, and Google Cloud. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise servers, storage, networking, hybrid-cloud software, services, and financing for business and public-sector customers. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. TuHURA Biosciences is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company developing IFx-2.0, TBS-2025, and DOR-based cancer therapies. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 develops, finances, and operates powered data center campuses and compute infrastructure for AI/HPC, bitcoin mining, hosting, and related energy services in the United States and Canada. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, annotation, evaluation, benchmarking, and workflow services and software for frontier labs, enterprises, and selected regulated or industry-specific use cases. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ builds trapped-ion quantum computers and related networking, security, sensing, and manufacturing offerings sold through cloud access, direct system deployments, and government or enterprise contracts. IREN IREN Limited IREN owns and operates power-secured data center campuses that provide AI cloud, colocation and build-to-suit infrastructure services while still generating some bitcoin mining revenue. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides engineering, supply chain, manufacturing, and logistics solutions for complex hardware programs across AI data center infrastructure, healthcare, automotive, industrial, and other end markets. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft, runs premium passenger aviation services through Blade, and is building commercial and defense aviation technology. KDK Kodiak AI, Inc. Kodiak AI builds Physical AI-powered autonomous trucking technology and related services for long-haul freight, industrial hauling, and defense logistics. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos develops and manufactures unmanned systems, propulsion, microwave electronics, satellite ground systems, and mission software for U.S. and allied defense and space customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum designs and manufactures optical and photonic components, modules, switches, and lasers used in AI and cloud data centers, telecom networks, industrial manufacturing, and sensing. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade sells renters, homeowners, car, pet, and term life insurance through a digital, AI-heavy consumer platform and embedded partner channels. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Lattice designs low-power FPGAs, design tools, and platform firmware and manageability software used in computing, communications, industrial, automotive, and embedded systems. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye sells EyeQ-based driver-assistance and autonomous-driving systems, mapping, and safety software to automakers and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta operates Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger and Threads, monetizing consumer attention and business demand mainly through advertising, messaging and some hardware. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Monolithic Power Systems is a fabless semiconductor company that sells power management chips, modules, and related solutions for data center, storage, automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer systems. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell is a fabless semiconductor company that supplies custom AI silicon, networking, optical interconnect, storage and security chips for cloud and data infrastructure. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft sells cloud infrastructure, productivity software, business applications, security, developer tools, devices, and gaming content to consumers, enterprises, and governments. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy combines a large bitcoin treasury and active capital-markets program with enterprise analytics software sold through subscriptions, licenses, support, and services. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs and manufactures high-performance analog, RF and optical semiconductors for data center, telecom, industrial and defense markets. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron designs, manufactures and sells memory and storage semiconductors used in data centers, AI systems, PCs, mobile devices, automotive systems and industrial equipment. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius sells AI cloud infrastructure including GPU compute, storage, networking, inference software, and related services to AI-native and enterprise customers, with smaller adjacent assets in robotics, education, and AI search. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy owns Florida Power & Light and a large North American generation, storage and transmission development platform serving retail, wholesale and large-load customers. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare provides cloud-based networking, cybersecurity, and developer services that help organizations secure, deliver, and run websites, applications, and APIs. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox develops digital X-ray systems and sells related imaging workflow, remote reading, cloud, AI, and health information technology solutions. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells cloud software that helps large organizations automate, govern, and secure workflows across IT, employee, customer, security, and other operations. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise data storage systems, data management software, and cloud data services across on-premises and public-cloud environments. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech developing in vivo gene-editing therapies, led by lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema and nex-z for transthyretin amyloidosis. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera sells cell-free DNA and genetic testing services across oncology, women’s health, and organ health through its own laboratories and selected partner-lab channels. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs semiconductors and full-stack computing platforms spanning AI data center chips, networking, systems, and supporting software. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo is developing and plans to own and operate advanced fast-fission nuclear plants while building adjacent fuel recycling, fuel fabrication, and isotope businesses. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs and manufactures power, analog and sensing semiconductors used in automotive, industrial and AI infrastructure systems. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells enterprise databases, business applications, cloud infrastructure, hardware, and related services to large organizations and governments. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster builds digital lidar sensors, stereo cameras, and perception software used in robots, industrial systems, drones, vehicles, and traffic infrastructure. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells network, cloud, security operations, identity security, and incident-response software and services to enterprise and public-sector customers. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells enterprise software for building, running, governing, and testing workflows that combine robots, APIs, AI agents, and human steps. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI develops autonomy software, avionics, unmanned systems, engineering services, and precision-manufactured components for defense and industrial customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet operates an Earth-observation satellite constellation and sells imagery, geospatial software, and sovereign satellite services to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir builds software platforms that turn enterprise and government data into governed operational workflows and AI-enabled decisions. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs optical engines, light sources and custom optical modules for AI systems and hyperscale data centers using its optical interposer packaging platform. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing prime-editing genetic medicines for rare diseases and partnering selected cell-therapy programs. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services designs, engineers, builds, upgrades and maintains electric power, communications and other critical infrastructure for utility, industrial and data-center-related customers. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave develops and sells quantum computing systems, cloud access, software tools, and related services for commercial, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. QCi develops quantum optimization systems, photonic AI hardware, secure-communications products, photonics components, and semiconductor foundry and advanced packaging services. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat sells U.S.-made drones, uncrewed surface vessels, control systems, and related autonomy technology to defense, government, and public-safety customers. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. Red Violet sells identity intelligence, fraud, compliance, investigative, and field-safety software and data solutions to enterprise, public-sector, and real-estate customers in the United States. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti designs and manufactures superconducting quantum processors, sells on-premises quantum systems, and provides cloud access through its Quantum Cloud Services platform. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot Platforms develops and operates bitcoin mining and large-scale data center campuses and also provides in-house electrical engineering, manufacturing, and deployment services through ESS Metron and E4A Solutions. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab provides launch services, spacecraft, satellite components, and mission systems to commercial, civil, defense, and national security customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Relay Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing small-molecule cancer and genetic disease therapies using a motion-based drug discovery platform. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus designs memory interface chips, silicon IP and hardware security solutions used in AI, data center and other high-performance computing systems. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics designs, deploys, and services AI-enabled robots for hospitality, retail, industrial, and cleaning workflows through sales, rentals, and recurring service contracts. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Recursion is a clinical-stage biotech that uses proprietary biological data, automated labs, and AI-driven discovery workflows to build internal drug programs and pharma collaborations. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells cybersecurity software subscriptions through its Singularity platform to protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and security data with AI-driven detection and response. SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells physics-based molecular discovery software and uses the same computational stack in partnered and proprietary drug discovery programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs and operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots and hospital service robots, with adjacent merchant workflow, advertising, and autonomy software offerings. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells MEMS-based precision timing semiconductors and related software used in communications, datacenter, industrial, automotive, and other electronics systems. SKHY SK hynix Inc. SK hynix makes DRAM, NAND, HBM and storage memory chips for AI servers, data centers, PCs, mobile devices and enterprise storage. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs and manufactures server, storage, networking, and AI data-center infrastructure systems, plus related software and deployment services. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale develops and licenses small modular nuclear reactor technology and related engineering services for utilities, governments, data centers, and industrial energy users. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake sells a cloud data platform that lets enterprises store, query, share, and build applications and AI workflows on data across major public clouds. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys sells mission-critical chip design software, semiconductor IP, verification hardware, and engineering simulation tools used to build semiconductors and complex electronic systems. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI sells voice and agentic AI software that helps enterprises run conversational experiences across phones, cars, kiosks, chat, smart devices, and other customer channels. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX builds and operates rockets, spacecraft, satellite broadband networks, and AI products for consumer, enterprise, and government customers. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire Global operates a small-satellite constellation and sells weather, radio-frequency, aviation, and mission-services data to government and commercial customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem sells software, edge hardware, and services that help owners and operators monitor, control, and optimize solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic builds large-scale warehouse automation systems plus related software, maintenance, and operating services for major retail, wholesale, and distribution customers. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus provides molecular diagnostics, AI-enabled clinical workflow tools, and data and analytics products to physicians, health systems, and biopharma companies. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Talen Energy owns and operates U.S. power generation assets and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into wholesale markets, including under a long-term AWS power arrangement. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs, manufactures, sells and leases battery electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and provides related software and services. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC manufactures leading-edge and specialty semiconductor wafers plus advanced packaging for chip designers and integrated device makers. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products, next-generation sequencing tools, and antibody discovery and characterization services for research, diagnostics, and therapeutics customers. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures high-density modular power components and systems, and licenses related power-delivery patents to OEMs and hyperscalers. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv supplies power, cooling, rack, monitoring and lifecycle service solutions for data centers and other mission-critical digital infrastructure. VST Vistra Corp. Vistra sells retail electricity and natural gas through brands including TXU Energy and Ambit Energy and owns a large U.S. generation fleet that supplies wholesale, capacity, and contracted power. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops, owns, and operates U.S. power-backed data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing tenants while still running legacy bitcoin mining capacity. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler provides cloud-delivered zero trust security that secures internet access, private application access, data, workloads, and AI-related activity for enterprises and government customers.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

March 2026 - Week 2
Cleaner Glossary Tooltips
  • Glossary tooltips are now more precise. Common words like "multiple," "platform," and "converts" that have both financial and everyday meanings are no longer highlighted when used in their generic sense, reducing visual noise across company pages.
March 2026 - Week 1
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis engine to GPT-5.4 from OpenAI. As with any model upgrade, you may notice some shifts in scores or rankings compared to prior weeks — this reflects the newer model's improved reasoning, not necessarily a change in our methodology or the companies themselves.
February 2026 - Week 4
Sharper Scores, Steadier Rankings
  • Last Economy Alignment scores now do a better job distinguishing companies with genuinely different structural positions. Previously, scores tended to cluster in a narrow band; the updated scoring spreads them out so you can more easily see which companies own durable advantages versus which ones look strong today but may be exposed as constraints fall. You may notice some companies shifting position relative to last week as a result—this reflects better calibration, not a change in the underlying analysis.
  • Breakout candidate rankings are now smoothed over recent weeks instead of recalculated from scratch each time. This means less week-to-week noise—a company won't jump in and out of breakout contention on minor data fluctuations, giving you a more reliable signal of which names are genuinely gaining momentum.
Contrast Pair Stories
  • New story format: we now publish head-to-head comparisons of two companies in the same market segment that diverge on structural positioning. These make it easier to see what actually separates durable advantage from surface-level AI exposure when two companies are competing for the same customers.
February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free: