Next Arc Research

Is it better to stay in the Mag 7 — or are there stronger opportunities as AI reshapes the economy?
We find who's positioned to win before it shows up in the earnings.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 125 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. AOI designs and manufactures lasers, optical transceivers, and cable-networking equipment used in AI data centers, telecom, and broadband access networks. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric VTOL aircraft, autonomous defense aircraft, and aviation AI and airspace software for commercial and defense customers. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI software and prebuilt applications that help large commercial and government customers deploy governed AI into operational workflows. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Airship AI develops AI-driven video, sensor, and data management software, edge hardware, and support services for government and enterprise security operations. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs sells connectivity chips, boards, modules, and embedded management software used in AI and cloud servers and racks. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella develops low-power edge AI semiconductor chips and software used in cameras, vehicles, robotics and on-premise intelligent systems. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs CPUs, GPUs, adaptive silicon, networking products and related software for data center, client, embedded and gaming markets. AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. Amkor provides outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services for chip companies, foundries, and electronics manufacturers. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius develops and sells high-energy silicon-anode lithium-ion battery cells and custom battery solutions for aviation, defense, and mobility applications. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates a global e-commerce and fulfillment network, the AWS cloud platform, a large digital advertising business, and subscription and media services. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista sells Ethernet switching, routing, network software, and related services for AI/data center, campus, WAN, and branch environments. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital designs, builds, owns, and operates large-scale AI and high-performance computing data center campuses, while also running legacy crypto hosting infrastructure. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides advertising software that helps advertisers acquire customers and helps publishers monetize mobile app and connected-TV inventory. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. Apimeds is a pre-revenue micro-cap pursuing APITOX for knee osteoarthritis while also housing the MindWave digital-asset treasury and governance stack. ARM Arm Holdings plc Designs and licenses CPU, GPU and system architectures, developer tools, and selective silicon used across phones, cloud servers, PCs, vehicles and edge devices. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML supplies lithography systems, Holistic Lithography software, metrology and inspection tools, and services used to manufacture advanced semiconductors. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile builds direct-to-cell satellites and related ground infrastructure so mobile carriers and government users can connect ordinary devices from space. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver self-driving system and sells driverless trucking services through carrier, shipper, and truck OEM partners. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. AeroVironment develops autonomous aircraft, loitering munitions, counter-drone, directed energy, space, cyber, and electronic warfare systems for U.S. and allied defense customers. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs semiconductor and infrastructure software products used in AI clusters, networking, private cloud, and other mission-critical enterprise systems. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai sells AI software and engineering solutions for defense, border, cargo, and aviation security workflows, including secure generative AI, screening, and digital identity tools. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Beam Therapeutics develops base-editing genetic medicines and related delivery and manufacturing capabilities for sickle cell disease and rare genetic diseases. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly sells handheld ultrasound devices plus cloud software, workflow tools, and embedded licensing that aim to expand imaging beyond traditional cart-based systems. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky operates an Earth-observation satellite constellation and sells real-time imagery, analytics, and sovereign mission systems to government and commercial customers. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT manufactures naval nuclear reactors and fuel, provides government nuclear technical services, and supplies components and lifecycle services to commercial nuclear customers. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs wafer-scale AI processors, sells CS-series AI systems for on-premises deployments, and provides cloud AI compute and related services. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence sells chip-design software, semiconductor IP, simulation tools, and accelerated hardware used to design and verify semiconductors and electronic systems. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation generates power from a large U.S. fleet led by nuclear and natural gas assets and sells electricity, gas and related energy products to utilities, municipalities, cooperatives, and commercial and retail customers. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica designs, engineers, manufactures and supports data center infrastructure hardware and other advanced technology products for hyperscalers, original equipment makers and industrial customers. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent manufactures optical networking components, lasers, engineered materials, and related systems used in AI datacenters, communications, and industrial applications. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase runs a regulated digital-asset and multi-asset platform spanning trading, custody, stablecoin rails, and developer infrastructure for consumers, institutions, and builders. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific builds and operates U.S. powered data center campuses for high-density AI colocation while still generating smaller revenue streams from self-mining bitcoin and hosted mining. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo designs high-speed connectivity chips, cables, optical interconnect products and diagnostics software used in AI and hyperscale data-center networks. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells cloud software for customer relationship management plus adjacent data, analytics, collaboration, and AI workflow automation products. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence provides voice AI, conversational assistant software, connected services, and related in-vehicle software to automakers and transportation OEMs. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-edited, cell therapy, and RNA medicines for serious diseases, including CASGEVY with Vertex and several wholly owned clinical programs. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike provides cloud-delivered cybersecurity software and services for endpoint, identity, cloud, data, and AI-related defense. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave provides GPU-accelerated cloud infrastructure, inference services, and related AI software to model developers, enterprises, and regulated customers. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog provides a SaaS observability and security platform that monitors, analyzes, and increasingly automates customers’ cloud applications and infrastructure. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell designs, manufactures, sells, finances, deploys, and supports PCs, servers, storage, networking, and related enterprise technology services worldwide. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells autonomous laboratory services, lab automation systems, and biological data-generation tools to biotech, pharma, academic, and industrial customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix provides global data center capacity, interconnection and managed digital infrastructure services to enterprises, networks, cloud providers and AI customers. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells search, observability, and security software plus managed cloud services built on Elasticsearch. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton sells electrical power-management equipment, modular power infrastructure, aerospace systems and related software/services to data center, utility, industrial and vehicle markets. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud contact-center software that routes customer interactions and adds AI automation, analytics, and agent workflow tools for enterprises. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence sells utility-scale battery storage systems, operational services, and optimization software to utilities, developers, and data-center customers. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services for complex products used in data centers, communications, automotive, medical, and industrial markets. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Alphabet monetizes user intent through Search and YouTube, sells cloud infrastructure and productivity software, and deploys AI across consumer and enterprise products. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells servers, storage, networking, hybrid cloud software and financing to enterprise, service-provider, and government customers. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. Clinical-stage immuno-oncology company advancing IFx-2.0 for Merkel cell carcinoma and TBS-2025 for genetically defined acute myeloid leukemia subsets. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 develops power-linked data center infrastructure, leases capacity for AI and cloud workloads, and operates bitcoin-related compute assets. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, model evaluation, and deployment-support software and services for technology, enterprise, and government customers. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ develops trapped-ion quantum computing systems and sells cloud access, direct systems, networking, security, sensing, and timing products to commercial and government customers. IREN IREN Limited IREN develops and operates powered data center campuses, GPU cloud infrastructure and related software/services for AI workloads while exiting legacy Bitcoin mining. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides engineering, supply chain, manufacturing, system integration, and logistics services for large OEM and cloud customers across global end markets. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft, is building an air taxi service, and operates charter passenger flights through Blade. KDK Kodiak AI, Inc. Kodiak AI sells an autonomous driving system, onboard hardware, and operating software that let trucking, industrial, and defense customers run driverless vehicles. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos designs and produces defense and space systems including unmanned aircraft, jet engines, microwave electronics, SATCOM ground equipment and mission software for U.S., allied and commercial customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum sells optical and photonic components, modules, lasers, and subsystems used in AI and cloud data centers, telecom networks, industrial manufacturing, and sensing applications. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade sells renters, homeowners, pet, car, and term life insurance through its licensed carriers, agencies, app, and partner channels in the United States and parts of Europe. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Lattice Semiconductor sells low-power programmable chips, design tools, and server firmware/manageability products used in compute, communications, industrial, and embedded systems. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye supplies advanced driver-assistance and autonomous-driving chips, software, mapping, and integrated systems to automakers and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta operates global social, messaging, and media apps, monetizes them primarily through advertising and business messaging, and also sells AI and virtual reality hardware and software. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells power management semiconductors and modules used in enterprise data, storage and computing, automotive, industrial, communications and consumer electronics. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell designs semiconductor and custom silicon products used in cloud, data center, carrier, enterprise, and security infrastructure. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft sells cloud infrastructure, workplace software, business applications, developer tools, security products, gaming content, and online advertising to consumers and enterprises. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy develops enterprise analytics software and uses public-market financing to acquire and hold bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs and manufactures analog RF, microwave and optical semiconductor products for data center, telecom, industrial and defense applications. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron designs and manufactures memory and storage chips used in AI servers, cloud infrastructure, mobile devices, vehicles and industrial systems. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius sells GPU cloud compute, storage, inference, and related AI platform services to developers and enterprises, with smaller businesses in autonomy and edtech. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy owns Florida Power & Light and a large U.S. power development platform spanning generation, storage and transmission. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare runs a global edge network that delivers security, networking, performance, and developer services for applications, APIs, users, and AI-driven workloads. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox develops digital X-ray imaging systems and sells related AI, cloud workflow, teleradiology, and health IT services to healthcare providers. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells cloud software that helps enterprises automate IT, employee, customer, operations, and security workflows on a single governed platform. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp provides enterprise data storage systems, data management software, cloud storage services, and related support that help customers run and protect data across on-premises and public-cloud environments. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Intellia Therapeutics develops in vivo CRISPR gene-editing medicines led by hereditary angioedema and transthyretin amyloidosis programs. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera provides cell-free DNA testing services for oncology, women’s health, organ health, and related clinical research workflows. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs accelerated computing chips, systems, networking and software used in AI data centers, gaming, workstations and automotive. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo develops and plans to own and operate advanced fission power plants plus related fuel-cycle and isotope facilities for U.S. power, industrial, government, and healthcare-linked customers. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs and manufactures power and sensing semiconductors used in electric vehicles, industrial systems, and AI data-center power delivery. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells database software, business applications including NetSuite, cloud infrastructure, hardware, and related services to enterprises and governments. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster sells digital lidar sensors, stereo cameras, and perception software for industrial, robotics, automotive, and smart-infrastructure applications. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells enterprise cybersecurity hardware, software, and cloud-delivered subscriptions across network, cloud, operations, and identity security. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells enterprise automation software that helps organizations coordinate robots, AI-driven workflows, testing, and human approvals across business processes. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI builds embodied autonomy software, avionics, UAV-related systems, engineering services, and precision manufacturing for defense and industrial customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet operates a satellite fleet and software platform that sell Earth imagery, geospatial data products, analytics, and satellite services to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir builds software platforms that integrate data, govern workflows, and deploy AI for governments and enterprises. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs photonic integrated circuits, optical engines, light sources and custom optical modules for AI systems and hyperscale data centers. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine develops gene-editing therapies using its Prime Editing platform for genetic diseases and partnered cell therapy programs. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services designs, builds, repairs and maintains electric power, communications, generation and load-center infrastructure. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave builds and sells annealing and gate-model quantum computing systems, cloud access, software, and services for enterprise, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. Quantum Computing Inc. sells photonics-based quantum machines, photonic components, foundry and semiconductor manufacturing services, and related systems for government, education, and commercial customers. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat sells U.S.-made drones, uncrewed surface vessels, and command-and-control systems for defense, government, and public safety users. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. Provides identity intelligence, verification, fraud, compliance, and field-safety software and data solutions through IDI and FOREWARN. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti designs and manufactures superconducting quantum processors and sells quantum computing access through cloud services, on-premises systems, and development contracts. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot Platforms develops and operates power-backed campuses for Bitcoin mining and AI data center tenants, supported by in-house electrical engineering and fabrication. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab builds rockets, spacecraft, and satellite components and sells launch and space systems services to commercial, government, and defense customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company developing targeted small-molecule medicines for cancer and genetic disease, led by zovegalisib and supported by its Dynamo discovery engine. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus designs memory interface chips and licenses high-speed and security silicon IP used in AI, data center and client computing systems. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics develops, deploys, leases, and services commercial and light industrial robotic systems for hospitality, delivery, cleaning, and related automation workflows. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company using proprietary data, automated labs, and AI to discover and develop drugs internally and with pharma partners. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells an AI-driven cybersecurity platform that helps enterprises protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, data, and emerging AI environments. SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells molecular discovery software and AI-enabled workflows to biopharma and other research customers while retaining upside from partnered and proprietary drug programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs, deploys, and operates autonomous delivery and service robots for restaurant, retail, and hospital workflows. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells precision timing chips and related software used in AI systems, communications equipment, vehicles, industrial gear and aerospace electronics. SKHY SK hynix Inc. SK hynix manufactures memory semiconductors and related packaging products, including AI-focused high-bandwidth memory, for data-center and device customers worldwide. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs and manufactures servers, storage, integrated AI systems, management software, and deployment services for cloud, enterprise, and data center customers. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale Power develops small modular nuclear reactor technology and related licensing, engineering, and plant services for utilities, developers, industrial users, and large power buyers. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake provides a cloud-based data platform that lets organizations consolidate, analyze, share, and build applications and AI workflows on data using a consumption-based model. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys sells chip-design software, semiconductor IP, hardware-assisted verification systems, and simulation tools used to design and validate semiconductors and complex electronic systems. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI sells voice and conversational AI software that automates customer service, ordering, commerce, and assistant workflows across phones, chat, cars, TVs, kiosks, and enterprise systems. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX designs, manufactures, launches, and operates rockets, spacecraft, satellite connectivity networks, and AI infrastructure/services for government, enterprise, and consumer customers. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire Global sells satellite-derived weather, aviation, and radio-frequency intelligence data, analytics, and space services to government and commercial customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem sells software, controls, edge hardware, and services used to monitor, control, and optimize solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic builds robotic warehouse automation systems and software that help large retailers, wholesalers, and distributors move inventory with less labor and higher accuracy. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus AI sells molecular diagnostics, clinical workflow software, and data-driven AI tools to physicians, health systems, researchers, and biopharma customers. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Independent power producer and energy infrastructure company that sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services, anchored by the Susquehanna nuclear plant and a PJM-heavy dispatchable fleet. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs, manufactures and sells battery-electric vehicles, energy storage systems, solar products and related software and services. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC provides outsourced semiconductor manufacturing and advanced packaging services to chip companies worldwide. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products, sequencing workflow tools, and antibody discovery services used by biotech, pharma, diagnostics, industrial, agricultural, and academic customers. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures high-density modular power components and systems used in AI computing, industrial, telecom, vehicle, and aerospace and defense applications. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv supplies power, cooling, racks, monitoring, and lifecycle services for data centers and other mission-critical digital infrastructure. VST Vistra Corp. Vistra is an integrated U.S. power producer and retail electricity supplier with a large fleet of gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery assets. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops, owns and operates U.S. power-backed data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing while still operating bitcoin mining infrastructure at Lake Mariner. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler sells subscription access to a cloud security platform that securely connects users, devices, workloads, applications, and AI systems for enterprises.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

March 2026 - Week 2
Cleaner Glossary Tooltips
  • Glossary tooltips are now more precise. Common words like "multiple," "platform," and "converts" that have both financial and everyday meanings are no longer highlighted when used in their generic sense, reducing visual noise across company pages.
March 2026 - Week 1
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis engine to GPT-5.4 from OpenAI. As with any model upgrade, you may notice some shifts in scores or rankings compared to prior weeks — this reflects the newer model's improved reasoning, not necessarily a change in our methodology or the companies themselves.
February 2026 - Week 4
Sharper Scores, Steadier Rankings
  • Last Economy Alignment scores now do a better job distinguishing companies with genuinely different structural positions. Previously, scores tended to cluster in a narrow band; the updated scoring spreads them out so you can more easily see which companies own durable advantages versus which ones look strong today but may be exposed as constraints fall. You may notice some companies shifting position relative to last week as a result—this reflects better calibration, not a change in the underlying analysis.
  • Breakout candidate rankings are now smoothed over recent weeks instead of recalculated from scratch each time. This means less week-to-week noise—a company won't jump in and out of breakout contention on minor data fluctuations, giving you a more reliable signal of which names are genuinely gaining momentum.
Contrast Pair Stories
  • New story format: we now publish head-to-head comparisons of two companies in the same market segment that diverge on structural positioning. These make it easier to see what actually separates durable advantage from surface-level AI exposure when two companies are competing for the same customers.
February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free: