Next Arc Research

Is it better to stay in the Mag 7 — or are there stronger opportunities as AI reshapes the economy?
We find who's positioned to win before it shows up in the earnings.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 125 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Applied Optoelectronics designs and manufactures optical networking products, including lasers, transceivers, and broadband equipment, for AI datacenter, cable, telecom, and fiber-access customers. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric and hybrid vertical aircraft, aviation software, and related infrastructure for commercial and defense markets, with current revenue coming mainly from Hawthorne Airport services. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI software, applications, and related services for commercial and government customers, with strength in complex and regulated workflows. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Builds AI software, edge appliances, and support services that turn video and sensor data into searchable operational intelligence for government and commercial customers. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs designs semiconductor connectivity products and supporting software that help hyperscalers and OEMs build rack-scale AI and cloud infrastructure. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella designs low-power edge AI semiconductor chips and software used in cameras, vehicles, robots and other intelligent devices. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs and sells CPUs, GPUs, networking silicon, adaptive chips and related software for data center, client, gaming and embedded markets. AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. Amkor provides outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services, including advanced packaging for computing, communications, automotive and industrial chips. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Amprius develops and sells high-energy silicon-anode lithium-ion batteries under SiCore and SiMaxx for drones, aviation, defense, and other weight-sensitive mobility uses. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates a global e-commerce marketplace, cloud infrastructure platform, advertising network, subscription ecosystem, and logistics network for consumers, sellers, developers, and enterprises. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista sells high-performance Ethernet switches, routing, network software, and support for AI and cloud data centers, campus networks, and wide-area networks. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital builds, owns, and operates power-dense data center campuses and hosting capacity for AI, cloud, and crypto workloads in North America. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides AI-driven advertising, user acquisition, and monetization software that connects advertisers with mobile app and other digital audiences. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. A distressed NYSE American-listed company combining retained exposure to the LT-100/Apitox pain program with MindWave digital-asset treasury and custody ambitions. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm licenses CPU and related semiconductor IP, compute subsystems, software tools, and selected silicon products used across mobile, cloud, PC, automotive, and AI infrastructure markets. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML supplies lithography, metrology, inspection, software and field services that chipmakers use to manufacture advanced semiconductors. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile designs, manufactures and deploys satellites that connect ordinary smartphones directly to space-based cellular broadband through mobile operator partners. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora builds and commercializes a self-driving trucking system and related services for freight carriers, truck manufacturers, and logistics partners. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. AeroVironment builds autonomous military systems and related software across loitering munitions, drones, counter-drone, space, cyber, and directed-energy defense markets. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software products, with major exposure to custom AI accelerators, AI networking, and private-cloud software. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai sells AI software and related services for defense, national security, border and travel security, digital identity, and supply-chain decision workflows. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Beam Therapeutics develops base-editing genetic medicines for sickle cell disease and rare inherited liver and metabolic diseases. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly Network sells handheld ultrasound devices, cloud workflow software, and AI-enabled imaging tools to clinicians, health systems, educators, and embedded partners. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky provides subscription-based satellite imagery, geospatial analytics, and mission workflows to defense, government, and commercial customers through its Spectra software stack and owned low Earth orbit constellation. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT manufactures nuclear components, fuel and related services for U.S. defense programs and commercial nuclear customers. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs wafer-scale AI compute systems and sells cloud inference, training, and dedicated AI capacity to model labs, enterprises, governments, and cloud partners. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence sells software, semiconductor IP, and hardware systems used to design chips, packages, boards, and complex engineered products. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation Energy generates electricity and sells power, natural gas, and related energy solutions to utilities, businesses, governments, and residential customers across the United States. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica designs, engineers, manufactures, and supports complex data-center, networking, aerospace, defense, industrial, and health technology hardware for large enterprise customers. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent is a vertically integrated photonics manufacturer supplying optical networking, lasers, devices, modules, systems, and engineered materials to datacenter, communications, industrial, and electronics markets. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase runs consumer, institutional, and developer crypto infrastructure for trading, custody, payments, and onchain financial workflows. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific operates U.S. data centers that are being converted from bitcoin mining toward high-density AI colocation, while still running smaller self-mining and hosting businesses. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo sells high-speed connectivity chips, cables, optics, software and IP used in AI, cloud and hyperscale data infrastructure. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells cloud software for customer relationship management, service, data, analytics, collaboration, and AI-driven workflow automation. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence builds in-vehicle voice, conversational AI, and connected software used by automakers to power branded in-car experiences. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-edited and gene-based therapies across hemoglobinopathies, cardiovascular disease, autoimmune disease, oncology, and diabetes. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike provides cloud-delivered cybersecurity software and services that protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, data, and security operations. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave provides GPU-centric cloud infrastructure, software, and managed services for AI training, inference, and production workloads. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog sells a cloud observability and security software platform that helps enterprises monitor infrastructure, applications, logs, and related security workloads. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell sells PCs, servers, storage, networking, financing and services, and is increasingly packaging AI infrastructure for enterprises and research customers. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells automated laboratory services, cloud-based experiment ordering, data-generation offerings, and RAC automation systems to biotech, pharma, industrial, agriculture, and government customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix owns and operates carrier-neutral data centers and sells colocation, interconnection and related digital infrastructure services to enterprises, cloud providers and network service providers. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells software and cloud services that help enterprises search data, monitor systems, and detect security threats across cloud and self-managed environments. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton makes power management hardware, systems and related software for data centers, utilities, industrial sites, buildings, aerospace and vehicle markets. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud contact-center software, telephony, and AI automation tools for enterprise customer-service operations. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence Energy sells grid-scale battery storage systems, lifecycle services, and optimization software to utilities, developers, independent power producers, and large power users. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services for complex products sold by OEM customers. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Alphabet operates Google’s search, advertising, YouTube, cloud, productivity, and AI platforms for consumers, developers, advertisers, and enterprises. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise servers, storage, networking, hybrid cloud software, and related services to commercial and public-sector customers. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. TuHURA is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company developing IFx-2.0, TBS-2025, and related immune-resistance programs for cancer treatment. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 develops powered campuses, data center infrastructure, and compute businesses spanning AI capacity leasing, Bitcoin mining, and cloud and colocation services. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, model evaluation, workflow software, and healthcare document-structuring tools for AI builders and enterprises. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ develops trapped-ion quantum computers and related networking, sensing, security, cloud, and manufacturing capabilities for enterprise, government, and research customers. IREN IREN Limited IREN develops, owns and operates power-backed data center infrastructure and GPU cloud capacity for AI training and inference, alongside a declining Bitcoin mining business. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil provides design, supply chain, manufacturing, and lifecycle services for OEMs, with growing exposure to AI and data-center infrastructure. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby develops electric air taxis, operates passenger aviation services through Blade, and is building commercial and defense aviation adjacencies. KDK Kodiak AI, Inc. Kodiak AI builds and deploys the Kodiak Driver autonomous vehicle system for long-haul trucking, industrial logistics, and defense vehicles. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos develops and manufactures unmanned defense systems, propulsion, hypersonic and missile-related hardware, satellite ground systems, microwave electronics and related software for U.S. and allied national security customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum makes lasers, photonic chips, optical modules, and optical switching systems used in AI data centers, telecom networks, industrial equipment, and sensing applications. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade sells renters, homeowners, car, pet, and term life insurance through a digital direct-to-consumer platform and partner APIs in the U.S. and parts of Europe. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Lattice designs low-power programmable chips plus related software, IP, and firmware/manageability products used in servers, communications, industrial, automotive, and embedded systems. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye develops automotive vision chips, mapping, safety software, and autonomous-driving systems for automakers and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta operates global social, messaging, and media platforms monetized primarily through digital advertising, while building AI products, business tools, and consumer devices. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells power-management semiconductors and related solutions for data centers, storage, automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer electronics. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell designs fabless data-infrastructure semiconductors for AI, cloud, carrier and enterprise networks, including custom silicon, switching, optics, storage and security chips. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft sells cloud infrastructure, productivity software, business applications, security, developer tools, Windows, devices, search, and gaming services to enterprises, governments, and consumers. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy sells enterprise analytics software and operates a large bitcoin treasury funded through common equity, preferred stock, and convertible debt. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs and manufactures high-performance semiconductor products for data center, telecommunications, industrial, and defense applications. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron designs, manufactures and sells memory and storage semiconductors including DRAM, NAND, NOR, HBM and SSD products for cloud, client, mobile, automotive and industrial markets. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius runs an AI cloud platform selling GPU compute, storage, networking, and inference software to developers and enterprises, while also owning Avride and TripleTen. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy owns Florida Power & Light and NextEra Energy Resources, combining a large regulated electric utility with a scaled developer and operator of power generation, storage and transmission assets. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare operates a global edge network that sells cloud security, application performance, networking, and developer platform services to enterprises and developers. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox develops digital tomosynthesis imaging systems and sells related cloud, AI, teleradiology, and healthcare IT services to imaging providers and health systems. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells cloud software that helps enterprises and public-sector organizations manage and automate IT, employee, customer, security, and other workflow processes. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise storage systems, data management software, and cloud data services built around ONTAP for hybrid and multicloud environments. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Intellia develops in vivo CRISPR gene-editing therapies for hereditary angioedema, transthyretin amyloidosis and other severe diseases. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera provides clinician-ordered cell-free DNA and genetic testing across oncology, women’s health, and organ transplant monitoring. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA designs and sells accelerated computing hardware, networking, and software used in AI data centers, gaming, enterprise computing, and automotive systems. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo is developing and plans to own and operate advanced fast-fission power plants while building related fuel recycling and isotope-production capabilities in the United States. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs and manufactures power and sensing semiconductors used in automotive, industrial, and AI data-center systems. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells cloud infrastructure, database software, enterprise applications, and related services to large enterprises and governments. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster sells digital lidar sensors, stereo cameras, perception software, and traffic and security solutions for industrial, robotics, automotive, and smart infrastructure customers. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells cybersecurity products and cloud-delivered platforms across network security, cloud security, security operations, AI security and identity for enterprises and public-sector customers. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells enterprise software to build, run, orchestrate, test, and govern automations, software robots, and AI-driven workflows. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI develops defense-focused autonomy software, avionics, UAV-related systems, engineering services, and precision manufacturing for U.S. government and industrial customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet sells satellite imagery, geospatial data, dedicated capacity, satellite services, and software tools to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir sells software that helps governments and enterprises organize data, run operations, and deploy AI in sensitive workflows. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs optical engines, light-source products, and custom modules for AI and hyperscale data-center interconnects using its Optical Interposer platform. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing one-time genetic therapies using prime editing for rare liver, lung, and blood disorders. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services provides specialized engineering, construction, maintenance and upgrade services for electric power, utility, communications and related critical infrastructure networks. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave develops quantum computing systems and sells cloud access, software, and related services to commercial, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. Quantum Computing Inc. develops and sells photonic quantum machines, photonics components, foundry services, and advanced semiconductor packaging services for government, research, and commercial customers. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Red Cat sells defense-focused unmanned aircraft, uncrewed surface vessels, ground control systems, and related autonomy software for military, government, and public safety users. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. Red Violet provides identity intelligence software and data to help enterprises, public-sector agencies, and professionals verify people and businesses, manage risk, fight fraud, and improve safety. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti designs and manufactures superconducting quantum processors, sells on-premises quantum systems, and provides cloud access to those systems for government, research, and enterprise users. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot Platforms operates bitcoin mining sites, develops and leases AI-ready data center capacity, and provides electrical engineering and fabrication services. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab provides launch services, satellites, spacecraft components, and mission operations for commercial, government, and defense customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company using its Dynamo discovery engine to develop small-molecule precision medicines for cancer and genetic disease. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus sells memory interface chips and licenses interface and security silicon IP used in AI, data center and other high-performance computing systems. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics designs, manufactures, deploys, and services commercial and industrial robots for hospitality, healthcare, retail, and internal logistics workflows. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Recursion is a clinical-stage biotech company using an in-house AI-native biology, chemistry, and clinical development platform to build internal drug candidates and discovery partnerships. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells subscription cybersecurity software that protects endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and AI workflows while automating detection and response. SDGR Schrodinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells molecular modeling and discovery workflow software to pharma, biotech, and materials customers while also monetizing partnered and proprietary drug programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs and operates autonomous robots for last-mile delivery and hospital logistics workflows in the United States. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells MEMS-based timing, clocking and synchronization chips and related software for communications, datacenter, automotive, industrial and aerospace electronics. SKHY SK hynix Inc. SK hynix manufactures DRAM, NAND flash, HBM and enterprise SSD memory used in AI servers, data centers and electronic systems. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs and manufactures application-optimized servers, storage, networking, rack-scale systems, and related management software for AI, cloud, enterprise, and edge deployments. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale develops small modular nuclear reactor technology and related plant, licensing, training, and operations services for utilities, industrial users, and project developers. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake provides a cloud data platform that enterprises use for data engineering, analytics, applications, collaboration, and AI across major public clouds. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys provides software, semiconductor IP, hardware-assisted verification, and simulation tools used to design and validate advanced chips and engineered systems. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI sells voice and conversational AI software and agents for automotive, restaurants, healthcare, financial services, and enterprise customer-service workflows. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX designs, builds, launches, and operates rockets, spacecraft, satellite broadband, and AI infrastructure for government, enterprise, and consumer customers. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire operates a proprietary nanosatellite constellation and sells weather, aviation, radio-frequency intelligence, and hosted mission services to government and commercial customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem provides software, control systems, edge hardware, and services used to monitor, optimize, and operate solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic builds large-scale warehouse automation systems plus attached software and services for retailers, wholesalers, and distributors. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus sells oncology-focused genomic diagnostics, clinical workflow software, and data and AI tools to providers and biopharma customers. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Independent power producer that owns nuclear and dispatchable U.S. generation and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services while pursuing large-load power contracts. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles, battery storage systems and related software, charging and energy services. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC manufactures semiconductors for chip designers and integrated device companies using advanced foundry, packaging, and related manufacturing services. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products and related workflow tools, including genes, next-generation sequencing products, and antibody discovery solutions for research, diagnostics and therapeutics customers. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures high-density modular power components and power systems used in AI and high-performance computing, industrial, networking, vehicle, and aerospace/defense applications. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv supplies power, cooling, racks, integrated infrastructure, software, and lifecycle services for data centers, communications networks, and other uptime-critical facilities. VST Vistra Corp. Vistra is an integrated competitive power generator and retail electricity supplier operating gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery assets across U.S. competitive markets. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops and operates power-backed U.S. data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing workloads while transitioning legacy bitcoin-mining infrastructure toward contracted digital infrastructure use. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler provides cloud-delivered zero trust security that secures enterprise users, workloads, branches, applications, and AI-related traffic.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

March 2026 - Week 2
Cleaner Glossary Tooltips
  • Glossary tooltips are now more precise. Common words like "multiple," "platform," and "converts" that have both financial and everyday meanings are no longer highlighted when used in their generic sense, reducing visual noise across company pages.
March 2026 - Week 1
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis engine to GPT-5.4 from OpenAI. As with any model upgrade, you may notice some shifts in scores or rankings compared to prior weeks — this reflects the newer model's improved reasoning, not necessarily a change in our methodology or the companies themselves.
February 2026 - Week 4
Sharper Scores, Steadier Rankings
  • Last Economy Alignment scores now do a better job distinguishing companies with genuinely different structural positions. Previously, scores tended to cluster in a narrow band; the updated scoring spreads them out so you can more easily see which companies own durable advantages versus which ones look strong today but may be exposed as constraints fall. You may notice some companies shifting position relative to last week as a result—this reflects better calibration, not a change in the underlying analysis.
  • Breakout candidate rankings are now smoothed over recent weeks instead of recalculated from scratch each time. This means less week-to-week noise—a company won't jump in and out of breakout contention on minor data fluctuations, giving you a more reliable signal of which names are genuinely gaining momentum.
Contrast Pair Stories
  • New story format: we now publish head-to-head comparisons of two companies in the same market segment that diverge on structural positioning. These make it easier to see what actually separates durable advantage from surface-level AI exposure when two companies are competing for the same customers.
February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free: