Next Arc Research

Is it better to stay in the Mag 7 — or are there stronger opportunities as AI reshapes the economy?
We find who's positioned to win before it shows up in the earnings.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Introduction

Next Arc Research is built around one question: as AI makes it cheaper to think, coordinate, and build, which companies are positioned to benefit most — and can we spot them before it shows up in the earnings? Every week, we analyze ~120 public companies, tracking where real advantages are forming, what the risks are, and what evidence would change our mind. See the FAQ.

Grounded in my own investing thesis and AI expertise, Next Arc Research leverages advanced reasoning models and extensive web research to evaluate companies through qualitative and quantitative signals of long-term potential. The framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis — the view that we’re entering a phase of unprecedented technological acceleration that will redefine how value emerges across industries.

Disclosure: I hold long positions in most of the companies I analyze on this platform. The detail page of any company will be specific as to whether I hold that company. My allocation to any particular company varies based on implied growth, risk and other factors. This is not investment advice and I am not paid to promote any company.

Methodology

Each week, AI models run fresh research on every company and score them across five dimensions:

The models pull from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive developments — so the analysis reflects this week, not last quarter.

Coverage

I analyze a curated selection of public companies with significant exposure to transformative technology trends. My coverage includes:

Currently covering 122 symbols:

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Designs and manufactures optical transceivers, lasers, and broadband networking equipment for AI datacenters, cable broadband, telecom, and fiber networks. ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Archer develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft, aviation software, and operating services for commercial and defense customers. AI C3.ai, Inc. C3 AI sells enterprise AI application software, an AI development platform, and related services to large commercial and government organizations. AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Airship AI provides AI-driven video, sensor, and evidence-management software, edge appliances, and support services for government and commercial security operations. ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Astera Labs designs connectivity semiconductors and control software that help hyperscalers and OEMs build and operate rack-scale AI systems. AMBA Ambarella, Inc. Ambarella designs low-power AI vision semiconductors and software used in cameras, vehicles, robots and other edge devices. AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD designs CPUs, GPUs, adaptive chips, networking products and supporting software for data center, client, gaming and embedded computing markets. AMPX Amprius Technologies, Inc. Develops and sells high-energy silicon-anode lithium-ion battery cells for drones, defense, aviation, light electric mobility, and other weight-sensitive applications. AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon operates global e-commerce and marketplace services, cloud and AI infrastructure, digital advertising, subscriptions, and logistics networks. ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Arista sells Ethernet switching and routing systems, EOS software, CloudVision management, and related services for AI, cloud, data center, campus, and routing networks. APLD Applied Digital Corporation Applied Digital designs, builds, and operates power-dense data center campuses and hosting capacity for AI, cloud, networking, and blockchain workloads. APP AppLovin Corporation AppLovin provides advertising software for advertisers and app publishers, including ad buying, in-app monetization, measurement, and connected TV tools. APUS Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc. Clinical-stage biotech developing LT-100/Apitox for knee osteoarthritis while, through MindWave, operating digital-asset treasury and token-ecosystem activities. ARM Arm Holdings plc Arm licenses CPU, GPU and system IP, compute subsystems, and related tools, and is now expanding into Arm-designed silicon for AI and cloud workloads. ASML ASML Holding N.V. ASML supplies lithography, metrology, inspection, software and service systems that chipmakers use to manufacture advanced semiconductors. ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. AST SpaceMobile designs, manufactures, and deploys satellites and gateway infrastructure to deliver cellular broadband directly to standard smartphones through carrier and government partners. AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver, a self-driving system for freight trucks, and is commercializing it through recurring autonomous transport services. AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. AeroVironment sells autonomous systems, loitering munitions, counter-drone systems, ground robots, and adjacent space, cyber, and directed-energy solutions to U.S. and allied defense customers. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Broadcom designs custom AI and networking chips and sells infrastructure software, including VMware private-cloud products, to hyperscalers and enterprises. BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BigBear.ai provides AI software, analytics, and related services for defense, national security, and trade and travel customers. BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company developing base-editing genetic medicines, led by risto-cel in sickle cell disease and BEAM-302 in alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency. BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. Butterfly Network sells handheld ultrasound devices, cloud workflow software, and embedded ultrasound-chip technology to clinicians, health systems, and development partners. BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky sells satellite imagery, geospatial analytics, and mission workflows to government, defense, and related customers through its constellation and software stack. BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc. BWXT designs, manufactures and services nuclear reactors, fuel, heavy components and related services for U.S. government, utility, medical and advanced-reactor customers. CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. Cerebras designs wafer-scale AI processors, integrated AI systems, and cloud AI compute sold to model developers, enterprises, research institutions, and governments. CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence sells software, hardware, reusable chip components, and engineering analysis tools used to design and validate semiconductors and intelligent systems. CEG Constellation Energy Corporation Constellation Energy owns a large U.S. fleet of nuclear, natural gas, hydro, wind, solar and geothermal generation and sells power, gas and energy solutions to businesses and other customers. CLS Celestica Inc. Celestica designs, engineers, manufactures and supports data-center, communications and advanced industrial technology products for hyperscalers, OEMs and enterprise customers. COHR Coherent Corp. Coherent develops and manufactures photonic materials, components, modules, lasers, and systems used in AI datacenter networking, communications, and industrial applications. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Coinbase operates crypto trading, custody, stablecoin, payments, and developer infrastructure products for consumers, institutions, and developers. CORZ Core Scientific, Inc. Core Scientific operates U.S. power-rich data center campuses for high-density AI colocation while still running smaller bitcoin self-mining and hosting businesses. CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Credo sells high-speed connectivity chips, cables, optical interconnect products and related software/IP used in AI, cloud and hyperscale data infrastructure. CRM Salesforce, Inc. Salesforce sells cloud customer relationship management software plus data, analytics, integration, collaboration, and AI workflow tools to enterprises and public-sector customers. CRNC Cerence Inc. Cerence AI provides embedded and cloud-connected conversational AI, voice assistant, and related software for automakers and automotive suppliers. CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG CRISPR Therapeutics develops gene-edited medicines, shares CASGEVY economics with Vertex, and advances wholly owned in vivo and cell-therapy programs. CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CrowdStrike sells cloud-delivered cybersecurity software and services that protect endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, data, SaaS applications, and AI workloads. CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. CoreWeave provides AI-focused cloud infrastructure, software, and related services for training, inference, and agentic workloads. DDOG Datadog, Inc. Datadog provides cloud software for monitoring infrastructure and applications, managing logs, improving user experience, and securing modern software systems. DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Dell sells PCs, servers, storage, related software, services and financing to enterprises, public-sector customers and consumers worldwide. DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Ginkgo Bioworks sells autonomous lab services, lab automation software and systems, and biological data services to biotech, pharma, agriculture, and industrial customers. EQIX Equinix, Inc. Equinix runs a global network of data centers and digital connectivity services that let enterprises, clouds and networks place infrastructure close together and connect privately. ESTC Elastic N.V. Elastic sells search, observability, and security software through cloud and self-managed subscriptions, with growing emphasis on AI retrieval and workflow automation. ETN Eaton Corporation plc Eaton makes electrical power management equipment, data-center power and cooling systems, aerospace components, and related digital tools for utility, industrial, commercial and infrastructure customers. FIVN Five9, Inc. Five9 provides cloud contact-center software that combines telephony, routing, workflow, analytics, and AI for enterprise customer service operations. FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Fluence sells grid-scale battery energy storage systems, operational services, and optimization software for utilities, developers, and emerging data-center power applications. FN Fabrinet Fabrinet is a precision manufacturing partner for complex optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic products used by communications, datacenter, automotive, medical, and industrial OEMs. GOOG Alphabet Inc. Alphabet, the parent of Google, monetizes consumer intent through advertising and subscriptions while selling cloud, AI, software, and security products to enterprises. HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company HPE sells enterprise servers, storage, networking, hybrid cloud software, and related services for private AI, data center, and edge environments. HURA TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. TuHURA Biosciences is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company advancing IFx-2.0 in Merkel cell carcinoma, TBS-2025 in AML, and earlier checkpoint-resistance programs. HUT Hut 8 Corp. Hut 8 develops powered data center sites and compute infrastructure for AI, cloud, colocation, and bitcoin-related workloads in North America. INOD Innodata Inc. Innodata provides AI data engineering, evaluation, safety, observability, and deployment support to large technology companies, AI labs, and enterprises. IONQ IonQ, Inc. IonQ develops trapped-ion quantum computing systems and sells quantum hardware, cloud access, networking, sensing, and security products to commercial and government customers. IREN IREN Limited IREN builds and operates power-backed data centers used for AI cloud services and Bitcoin mining. JBL Jabil Inc. Jabil is a global manufacturing and supply-chain partner that designs, sources, builds, and ramps complex hardware systems across AI infrastructure, healthcare, automotive, and industrial end markets. JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. Joby Aviation develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft and aims to operate premium passenger air taxi services while also selling aircraft and aviation services to partners. KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Kratos sells defense and space systems including unmanned aircraft, propulsion and hypersonic products, satellite ground systems, and microwave electronics to U.S. and allied customers. LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Lumentum designs and manufactures optical components, modules, subsystems and lasers used in AI data-center networking, telecom, industrial and sensing markets. LMND Lemonade, Inc. Lemonade is a digital insurer selling renters, homeowners, car, pet, and term life coverage through its own app-led platform in the U.S. and parts of Europe. LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation Lattice Semiconductor designs low-power programmable chips, related software, and security and control solutions used in servers, industrial systems, communications equipment, and embedded devices. MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Mobileye sells advanced driver-assistance and autonomous-driving chips, software, maps and systems to automakers, suppliers and mobility operators. META Meta Platforms, Inc. Meta runs global social, messaging, and media platforms monetized mainly through advertising, with growing AI, business messaging, and wearable computing products. MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Designs and sells semiconductor-based power management chips, DrMOS stages, modules, and control solutions for data center, automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer systems. MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Marvell designs custom silicon, switching, optical, storage and security chips used in cloud, AI, carrier and enterprise data infrastructure. MSFT Microsoft Corporation Microsoft provides cloud infrastructure, productivity software, business applications, developer tools, security, advertising, gaming, and AI services to enterprises and consumers. MSTR Strategy Inc Strategy issues public securities around a large bitcoin treasury and sells enterprise analytics, semantic-layer, and AI governance software. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MACOM designs, manufactures and sells specialized RF, optical, analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products used in data center, telecommunications, industrial and defense systems. MU Micron Technology, Inc. Micron designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage semiconductors, including DRAM, NAND, NOR, HBM and data-center SSD products for cloud, client, mobile, automotive and industrial markets. NBIS Nebius Group N.V. Nebius sells AI cloud compute, storage, networking and managed inference services to developers and enterprises building AI applications. NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. NextEra Energy owns Florida Power & Light and NextEra Energy Resources, operating regulated electric utility, generation, storage and transmission assets across the U.S. NET Cloudflare, Inc. Cloudflare provides cloud-based network security, performance, Zero Trust, and developer platform services to businesses and public-sector organizations. NNOX Nano-X Imaging Ltd. Nanox sells digital imaging systems plus remote radiology, imaging AI, cloud workflow, and healthcare IT services to providers. NOW ServiceNow, Inc. ServiceNow sells cloud software that helps large organizations automate, govern, and execute workflows across IT, customer service, HR, security, and other enterprise functions. NTAP NetApp, Inc. NetApp sells enterprise storage systems, data management software, and cloud data services that help customers manage, protect, and move data across on-premises and public cloud environments. NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. Intellia develops in vivo CRISPR gene-editing therapies for severe diseases, led by hereditary angioedema and transthyretin amyloidosis programs. NTRA Natera, Inc. Natera provides molecular genetic testing services across oncology, women’s health, and organ health, using regulated laboratory infrastructure, bioinformatics, and clinical evidence to support adoption. NVDA NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA sells accelerated computing chips, networking, systems and software used in AI data centers, gaming PCs, vehicles and industrial systems. OKLO Oklo Inc. Oklo is developing advanced fission power plants, nuclear fuel-cycle facilities, and radioisotope production assets aimed at supplying firm clean power and nuclear materials in the United States. ON ON Semiconductor Corporation onsemi designs and manufactures power semiconductor and sensing devices used in vehicles, industrial systems, energy infrastructure, and AI data center power delivery. ORCL Oracle Corporation Oracle sells cloud infrastructure, database technology, enterprise applications such as NetSuite, and Oracle Health software to enterprise and government customers. OUST Ouster, Inc. Ouster sells digital lidar sensors, cameras, AI compute, and perception software for robotics, industrial automation, automotive, and smart infrastructure deployments. PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Palo Alto Networks sells cybersecurity software, subscriptions, hardware and services spanning network, cloud, security operations, AI and identity for enterprises, service providers and governments. PATH UiPath, Inc. UiPath sells software that helps enterprises build, orchestrate, run, and govern automation workflows, robots, testing, and AI agents across business processes. PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. Palladyne AI sells autonomy software, avionics, precision-manufactured components, UAV systems, and engineering services for defense and industrial customers. PL Planet Labs PBC Planet operates Earth-observation satellites and sells daily satellite imagery, geospatial data products, analytics, and satellite services to government and commercial customers. PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir builds software that helps governments and large enterprises integrate data, govern AI, and run operational workflows in sensitive environments. POET POET Technologies Inc. POET Technologies designs photonic integration products including optical engines, light sources and custom optical modules for AI systems and hyperscale data centers. PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. Prime Medicine is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing Prime Editing therapies for rare genetic diseases, with lead programs in Wilson disease, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, chronic granulomatous disease, and cystic fibrosis. PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Quanta Services is a specialty infrastructure contractor that designs, builds, repairs and maintains electric power, communications, pipeline and large-load-center systems. QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. D-Wave sells quantum computing systems, cloud access, and related services to enterprise, government, and research customers. QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. Quantum Computing Inc. develops photonic and quantum hardware, components, and foundry services for AI, secure communications, sensing, and optimization applications. RCAT Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Develops and sells U.S.-made drones, uncrewed surface vessels, ground control systems and related autonomy capabilities for defense, government and public safety customers. RDVT Red Violet, Inc. Red Violet provides identity-intelligence software and data products used for fraud, compliance, investigations, and real-estate safety workflows. RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. Rigetti designs and manufactures superconducting quantum processors and systems, sells on-premises quantum hardware, and provides cloud access to its quantum computers for government, research, and enterprise users. RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Riot Platforms operates bitcoin mining sites, electrical engineering and fabrication businesses, and develops large-scale U.S. data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing customers. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation Rocket Lab provides launch services, spacecraft, satellite components, and mission operations for commercial, civil, and defense customers. RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. Clinical-stage biotechnology company developing small-molecule therapies in oncology and genetic disease using its Dynamo discovery platform. RMBS Rambus Inc. Rambus designs memory interface chips and licenses interface and security silicon IP used in AI servers, data centers, PCs and other computing systems. RR Richtech Robotics Inc. Richtech Robotics develops and deploys service and light-industrial robots plus related data services for hospitality, retail, warehouse, and manufacturing customers. RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Recursion is a clinical-stage biotechnology company using its Recursion OS platform, automated labs, and proprietary data to discover and develop medicines internally and with partners. S SentinelOne, Inc. SentinelOne sells subscription cybersecurity software that protects endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, data, and security operations workflows with AI-driven detection, investigation, and response. SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. Schrödinger sells computational molecular discovery software and workflow tools and also monetizes its platform through collaborations and selected internal drug programs. SERV Serve Robotics Inc. Serve Robotics designs, deploys, and operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots, hospital logistics robots, and related fleet software. SITM SiTime Corporation SiTime designs and sells silicon-based precision timing semiconductors and related software used in datacenter, communications, automotive, industrial, aerospace, mobile, and consumer electronics. SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Supermicro designs and manufactures AI and data-center servers, rack-scale systems, liquid-cooling infrastructure, storage, and management software for enterprise and cloud customers. SMR NuScale Power Corporation NuScale Power develops, licenses, and supports small modular nuclear reactor plants for utilities, industrial users, and project developers. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Snowflake sells a cloud data platform that lets enterprises store, process, govern, share, and build analytics and AI applications on data across major public clouds. SNPS Synopsys, Inc. Synopsys sells chip-design software, semiconductor interface IP, hardware-assisted verification systems, and engineering simulation tools used to build advanced semiconductors and complex products. SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. SoundHound AI sells voice and agentic AI software that helps enterprises and OEMs automate customer and employee interactions across phones, chat, kiosks, vehicles, TVs, and drive-thrus. SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SpaceX sells launch services, LEO satellite broadband via Starlink, and AI-related digital services including Grok to government, commercial, and consumer customers. SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Spire operates a nanosatellite constellation and sells weather, aviation, radio-signal, and space-services data products to government and commercial customers. STEM Stem, Inc. Stem provides software, managed services, and edge control hardware that help owners monitor, control, and optimize solar, storage, and hybrid energy assets. SYM Symbotic Inc. Symbotic designs, installs, and supports AI-enabled warehouse automation systems that combine robotics, software, and operating services for large distribution customers. TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Tempus AI sells molecular diagnostics, de-identified multimodal data and analytics, and clinical workflow software to oncologists, health systems, and biopharma companies. TLN Talen Energy Corporation Talen Energy owns and operates nuclear and fossil power plants and sells electricity, capacity, and related services into U.S. wholesale markets, including long-term supply to large-load customers. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Tesla designs, manufactures and sells battery electric vehicles, energy storage systems, solar products and software-enabled mobility and energy services. TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited TSMC manufactures semiconductors for chip designers and adds advanced packaging and design-enablement services that are critical to leading-edge AI and high-performance computing chips. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA products, sequencing sample-preparation tools, and antibody discovery services for research, diagnostics, therapeutics, and industrial biology customers. VICR Vicor Corporation Vicor designs and manufactures modular power components and power systems used in AI compute, industrial, networking, transportation, and aerospace/defense applications. VRT Vertiv Holdings Co Vertiv designs, manufactures and services power, cooling, rack, monitoring and related infrastructure used in data centers and other mission-critical facilities. VST Vistra Corp. Vistra is an integrated U.S. power company that owns generation assets and sells electricity and natural gas to retail, commercial, and wholesale customers. WULF TeraWulf Inc. TeraWulf develops and operates U.S. power-secured data center campuses for AI and high-performance computing hosting alongside a shrinking bitcoin mining business. ZS Zscaler, Inc. Zscaler provides cloud-delivered cybersecurity and zero-trust access services that sit inline between enterprise users, workloads, branches, applications, and the internet.

Note: Availability of analysis for each symbol is subject to your Patreon tier membership level.

Patreon Tiers

You can support this project (to fund deeper and more frequent research across a broader set of companies) through joining as a Patreon member. Three different tiers provide different benefits depending on your goals. See below for samples of the analysis at different levels:

Free
$0/month

All Covered Stocks
Weekly updates with core analysis: thesis, growth outlook, risk summary, M.I.N.D. summary, and narrative synopsis. Web access only.

Reader
$5/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Free, plus bull/base/bear case, and M.I.N.D. scores. Web access only.

Allocator
$12/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Reader, plus M.I.N.D. explanations, comparative advantage analysis, critiques, growth rationale, key citations, risk scores and sensitivity notes. Web access only.

Builder
$36/month

All Covered Stocks
Everything in Allocator, plus detailed risk factor commentary, competitor identification, trend considerations, skills/assets/capabilities, valuation reasoning and noteworthy learnings. Web, PDF & CSV access.
Support on Patreon

While you are subscribed at a particular tier on Patreon, you will have access to the Next Arc Research website where you will be able to browse the analysis of each company covered by that tier.
Note that "Top 10" etc. is based on the companies' implied growth through 2030 ranking when the analysis is performed, i.e. the 10/30/100 companies with the highest implied growth.

Update Cadence

These analyses are updated on a weekly basis around the 7th, 14th, 21st and 28th day of each month. If there are meaningful events in the market (e.g. earning season) then updates may be delayed to the end of the week.

Using the Data

Here are some practical ways people often use this kind of research inside their own workflow — purely as examples tied to the features of the platform, and not as recommendations or investment advice:

None of this is investment advice. Everyone’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are different, so please consult a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Changelog

March 2026 - Week 2
Cleaner Glossary Tooltips
  • Glossary tooltips are now more precise. Common words like "multiple," "platform," and "converts" that have both financial and everyday meanings are no longer highlighted when used in their generic sense, reducing visual noise across company pages.
March 2026 - Week 1
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis engine to GPT-5.4 from OpenAI. As with any model upgrade, you may notice some shifts in scores or rankings compared to prior weeks — this reflects the newer model's improved reasoning, not necessarily a change in our methodology or the companies themselves.
February 2026 - Week 4
Sharper Scores, Steadier Rankings
  • Last Economy Alignment scores now do a better job distinguishing companies with genuinely different structural positions. Previously, scores tended to cluster in a narrow band; the updated scoring spreads them out so you can more easily see which companies own durable advantages versus which ones look strong today but may be exposed as constraints fall. You may notice some companies shifting position relative to last week as a result—this reflects better calibration, not a change in the underlying analysis.
  • Breakout candidate rankings are now smoothed over recent weeks instead of recalculated from scratch each time. This means less week-to-week noise—a company won't jump in and out of breakout contention on minor data fluctuations, giving you a more reliable signal of which names are genuinely gaining momentum.
Contrast Pair Stories
  • New story format: we now publish head-to-head comparisons of two companies in the same market segment that diverge on structural positioning. These make it easier to see what actually separates durable advantage from surface-level AI exposure when two companies are competing for the same customers.
February 2026 - Week 3
AI Industrial Alignment in the UI
  • AI Industrial Alignment is now an axis option in the screener / scatter plot.
  • Every company page now includes a Last Economy Structure section showing how the business positions within the AI industrial landscape. Free users see the headline AI Industrial Score, higher tiers progressively unlock the score decomposition, structural risk vectors, and full control-point and flywheel analysis.
February 2026 - Week 2
Deeper Last Economy Analysis
  • Added a new two-pass AI/Agent/Automation Alignment analysis that scores each company for “fitness to benefit from the AI Industrial Revolution.” Instead of extrapolating from recent winners, this lens asks: as cognition, coordination, energy, and capacity constraints loosen, where does the company own or gate a durable choke point versus where does cheaper intelligence erode value capture?
  • The first phase maps where a company genuinely controls value and where it may be exposed as software and automation become more capable. The second phase evaluates how advantage compounds, which real-world bottlenecks still matter, how revenue is actually captured, and how resilient the business is across different economic and regulatory regimes. The result is a clearer distinction between durable industrial leverage and surfaces that look strong today but may thin out as constraints fall.
February 2026 - Week 1
Software Value Analysis
  • Added a new lens to our research that directly addresses what markets are pricing right now: as AI automates more knowledge work, many software features become cheap and easy to copy. For every company we cover, we now explicitly assess “obsolescence risk” (how easily the product can be replaced by AI or bundled into someone else’s platform) versus “durable advantage” (distribution, switching costs, trust, regulation, data rights, and real-world infrastructure).
  • Updated our writeups to clearly explain what this shift means for each company’s path to growth: whether it can keep pricing power, how it will capture value if AI changes the way customers buy (e.g., seats → usage → embedded workflows), and what concrete proof points investors should watch next to confirm resilience or signal disruption.
January 2026 - Week 3
Deeper Pre-Analysis
  • Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
  • Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.
January 2026 - Week 2
No updates
  • No major user-facing changes this week
January 2026 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Trend Analysis
  • Added smoothed M.I.N.D. scores using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) to reduce week-to-week noise in factor assessments. The smoothed values give a more stable view of each company's structural strengths.
  • New trend indicators show whether each M.I.N.D. factor (and the composite score) is improving or declining. Slopes are calculated over 5 weeks of history and expressed as change per week.
  • Builder tier CSV exports now include additional columns: smoothed M.I.N.D. score, M.I.N.D. trend slope, 5-period average risk score, Last Economy alignment, upside compression, and bull/base/bear CAGRs.
  • The interactive screener adds "M.I.N.D. Trend" as a new axis option. Positive values indicate improving structural quality; negative values suggest deterioration. This helps identify companies with strengthening or weakening competitive positions.
  • M.I.N.D. percentiles are now calculated using the more stable M.I.N.D. EWMA scores.
  • Last Economy Watch now weights evidence by significance rather than counting items. High-impact, hard-to-reverse developments carry more weight than symbolic announcements, giving a clearer picture of whether macro conditions are truly shifting toward or away from the thesis.
December 2025 - Week 4
Enhancements
  • We are renaming the tiers to give them names that more closely reflect their utility as we work to grow our audience. "Access" becomes "Reader", "Plus" becomes "Allocator" and "Portfolio" becomes "Builder".
  • We are making all covered stocks available at all tiers. Tier differentiation primarily comes down to the depth of analysis and the tools made available at each tier.
  • Going forward we will update analysis for all covered stock for all Tiers every week. This will make it easier to dependably deep link to analysis from our social media stories.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and engaging.
Additions & Modifications
  • Initiating coverage of TeraWulf Inc. (WULF), Jabil Inc. (JBL) and Talen Energy Corp. (TLN).
  • Replacing MATIC with POL as a more appropriate "symbol" for The Polygon Network.
December 2025 - Week 3
Enhancements
  • We reworked the screener display of M.I.N.D. and Upside Compression (previously Valuation Tension) to use log axes.
  • We renamed "Valuation Tension" to "Upside Compression" to make the meaning clearer and more directional. Upside compression is a ratio of the five year opportunity of an asset to its current Price Position. Price Position is where the asset is prices relative to its 52-week low/high range.
  • Added new axes to the screener for M.I.N.D. score percentile and Upside Compression percentile. These spread the scatter and may make it simpler to interpret.
  • We will be publishing specific updates on examples of companies that fall into each quadrant of the M.I.N.D./Upside Compression plot.
  • Many enhancements to the content publishing pipleline that will hopefully make stories more information rich and accessible.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of NetApp Inc. (NTAP), Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) and Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR).
December 2025 - Week 2
Model Upgrade
  • We upgraded the analysis process to use the newly released GPT 5.2 from OpenAI.
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of ASML Holding (ASML), BWX Technologies (BWXT) and Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY).
December 2025 - Week 1
M.I.N.D. Framework Integration
  • Added M.I.N.D. scoring (Material, Intelligence, Network, Diversity) from Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" framework. Scores assess strength in physical domains, AI/intelligence generation, network effects, and optionality on a 0.0-1.0 scale.
  • M.I.N.D. scores now available at Free tier; explanations for each dimension at Plus tier and above.
  • Interactive screener now includes M.I.N.D. Score as a selectable axis option alongside growth, risk, and alignment metrics.
  • Added three price-based metrics to screener axes: Price Position (52w range position), Price Compression (distance from 52w high), and Valuation Tension (growth forecast divided by price position).
Additions
  • Initiating coverage of Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA), AeroVironment (AVAV) and the super interesting merger Apus Health (Apimeds-Mindwave).
Bug fixes
  • Fixed a bug in the calculation of risk-weighted growth.
November 2025 - Week 3
Adding Dynamic chart / screener, glossaries and FAQ.
  • The static risk vs growth chart has been replaced by a dynamic chart that allows you to plot different axes and filter the assets you want to see. This is available at paid membership levels but not at the free level given the smaller number of assets there doesn't warrant filtering. For members with weekly update cadence this is in place on last week's analysis index. For monthly updates this will appear with the next regular update (week 4 in November).
  • The online stock analysis pages are now augmented with a glossary capability. If you see a word underlined then you can hover the mouse over the word and see a definition.
  • There is now a short Frequently Asked Questions page. If you'd like a question answered please reach out on Patreon.
  • A few minor changes, shortening some of the prose around skills, assets & capabilities slightly and making current share price and 52-week high/low explicitly available to the analysis.
  • Upgrading to GPT 5.1 for analyses going forward.
November 2025 - Week 2
Adding Crypto
  • Initiated coverage on a number of retail available, institutionally research crypto assets: ATOM, AVAX, BTC, DOT, ETH, FIL, LINK, MATIC, and SOL
November 2025 - Week 1
Adding Context
  • Analysis now includes consideration of bull, base and bear cases from reputable analysts. This is also output at the Access member level
  • The models now do more in-depth analysis of "net new" value creating opportunities available to the company over 5 years
  • Analysis includes consideration of skills, assets and capabilties. This is also output at the Portfolio member level
  • Added a free-tier (accessible to anyone who authenticates via Patreon) that covers 10 "interesting" companies monthly
October 2025
Initial Launch
  • First release of {{ project_name }} company analysis platform
  • Coverage of 100+ companies across AI, biotech, quantum, defense, enterprise and robotics sectors and more
  • Three-tier Patreon structure with varying levels of access
  • Multi-model AI analysis using GPT-5, Claude and Gemini. (Note: in my experimentation, Grok's future-tech outlook is too optimistic, even for me)
  • Downloadable PDFs and CSV growth/risk data at the Portfolio tier
  • Scatter plots to understand relative growth/risk
Development candidates:
  • Additional companies to cover
  • Plots of company growth trends over time
  • Allocation worksheet
  • Let me know what you'd like to see ...

About

The Framework

The Next Arc Research framework is inspired by Emad Mostaque's "The Last Economy" thesis on the transformative impact of AI and exponential technologies. Rather than extrapolating from historical trends, I analyze how companies are positioned to capture value in a world where AI dramatically accelerates innovation, reduces costs, and enables new business models.

The Technology

Each week, AI reasoning models research every company from scratch — pulling from earnings calls, product launches, regulatory filings, and competitive moves. The analysis is scored and structured so you can compare companies and track how their positions change week over week.

The Creator

I've spent 30+ years working and investing in tech. I worked at Netscape, Yahoo!, Google and many startups in Silicon Valley - most recently in AI and LLM technology.

As a retail investor I invested in Bank of America during the 2008 Great Recession, Amazon before they got big and NVIDIA when they still focused on gaming. These investments allowed me to quit regular work and spend some time on Next Arc Research to find the next companies that are going to drive outsized returns in our tech-optimistic future. I resolved that anything I developed would be made available to others.

While I am hopeful for a tech-optimistic future of abundance for all, I also believe that the surest way to guard against being cut out of that future is to own a part of it.

Contact

Please reach out via my Patreon.

Free Resources

Try the analysis for free: